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Loveland Tigers (12-7)

Region: OH 4 South

State: OH

Coach: Mike Werner

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	at Summit Country Day (2-13)	OH 2 Reg 4	74.9		W	7-	6		0.025
4/09	at Cincinnati Cou Day (13-9)	OH 2 Reg 4	86.3		L	4-	10		-0.175
4/14	vs. Little Miami # (6-10)	OH 4 South	80.4		W	22-	5		0.000
4/17	at Wilmington (1-15)	OH 2 Reg 4	62.9		W	18-	2		0.000
4/18	at Lakota West (10-7)	OH 1 Reg 4	90.7		L	5-	10		-0.075
4/20	at Kings (3-10)	OH 1 Reg 4	81.6		W	11-	9		0.200
4/21	vs. Colerain # (3-6)	OH 4 South	78.3		W	14-	3		0.000
4/21	vs. Gahanna # (3-13)	OH 4 North	79.8		W	15-	4		0.025
4/22	vs. Anderson # (17-4)	OH 4 South	86.8	3	W	10-	5		0.225
4/23	MASON (2-12)	OH 1 Reg 4	82.2		W	11-	7		0.150
4/28	at Turpin (10-7)	OH 2 Reg 4	83.1		L	9-	10		-0.275
5/02	at Dayton LC (12-5)	OH 4 South	82.6	7	W	11-	6		0.125
5/03	at Milford (16-6)	OH 4 South	85.9	5	L	8-	9	ot	-0.225
5/05	at Cincinnati Indian Hill (11-6)	OH 1 Reg 4	93.6		L	6-	16		0.000
5/08	at Seven Hills (4-10)	OH 2 Reg 4	75.6		W	7-	6		0.050
5/12	ANDERSON (17-4)	OH 4 South	86.8	3	L	8-	11		-0.300
5/23	LITTLE MIAMI (6-10)	OH 4 South	80.4		W	10-	2		0.000
5/26	at Milford (16-6)	OH 4 South	85.9	5	W	7-	6		0.275
5/30	at Anderson (17-4)	OH 4 South	86.8	3	L	5-	8		-0.250
# Neutral site			79.8						-0.22

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	A	Summit Country Day	7-	6	1	9	–––	1.30		-7.71
4/09	A	Cincinnati Cou Day	4-	10	-6	-3	–	1.30		-3.37
4/14	N	Little Miami	22-	5	17	10	+++	0.00	6.57
4/17	A	Wilmington	18-	2	16	21	––	1.30		-4.69
4/18	A	Lakota West	5-	10	-5	-7		0.89		1.71
4/20	A	Kings	11-	9	2	2		0.89		-0.41
4/21	N	Colerain	14-	3	11	14	–	0.00	-3.07
4/21	N	Gahanna	15-	4	11	9		0.00	1.95
4/22	N	Anderson	10-	5	5	1	+	0.00	3.96
4/23	H	Mason	11-	7	4	4		-0.89		0.37
4/28	A	Turpin	9-	10	-1	1		1.30		-1.55
5/02	A	Dayton LC	11-	6	5	5		0.91	-0.22
5/03	A	Milford	8-	9	-1	-1		0.91	0.12
5/05	A	Cincinnati Indian Hill	6-	16	-10	-10		0.89		-0.41
5/08	A	Seven Hills	7-	6	1	8	–––	1.30		-7.08
5/12	H	Anderson	8-	11	-3	2	––	-0.91	-4.96
5/23	H	Little Miami	10-	2	8	11	–	-0.91	-3.34
5/26	A	Milford	7-	6	1	-1	+	0.91	2.12
5/30	A	Anderson	5-	8	-3	0	–	0.91	-3.13
									0.00	-23.13

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/14	N	Little Miami	22-	5	-6.57
4/17	A	Wilmington	18-	2	4.69
4/21	N	Colerain	14-	3	3.07
4/21	N	Gahanna	15-	4	-1.00
5/05	A	Cincinnati Indian Hill	6-	16	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1157
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.94		Natl Power Rank	1157
Natl SOS Rating	69.94		Natl SOS Rank	1926
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.22		Natl Quality Win Rank	1753
W-L Pct Rating	0.63		W-L Pct Rank	800
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-0.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	5.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.0


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