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Lewisburg Green Dragons (8-4)

Region: PA CSNLL

State: PA

Coach: Chuck Knisely

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	HARRISBURG ACADEMY (5-10)	PA Mid 1	78.0		W	8-	7		0.225
3/27	at Central Dauphin (4-12)	PA Mid 1	76.6		W	10-	9		0.275
3/31	at South-Western (10-8)	PA York 1	80.4		L	3-	9		-0.125
4/12	COLUMBIA-MONTOUR (5-12)	PA CSNLL	69.8		W	16-	2		0.000
4/19	at State College (9-7)	PA CSNLL	76.9		L	7-	8	2ot	-0.300
4/26	SELINSGROVE (2-6)	PA CSNLL	67.6		W	21-	4		0.000
5/01	CENTRAL DAUPHIN EAST (4-12)	PA Mid 1	75.2		W	16-	3		0.150
5/05	NEW OXFORD (1-13)	PA York 1	67.3		W	16-	3		0.000
5/08	STATE COLLEGE (9-7)	PA CSNLL	76.9		L	6-	7		-0.375
5/09	COLUMBIA-MONTOUR (5-12)	PA CSNLL	69.8		W	20-	3		0.000
5/10	at Selinsgrove (2-6)	PA CSNLL	67.6		W	21-	8		0.000
5/22	CONESTOGA VALLEY (12-11)	PA LL04	83.4	9	L	5-	14		-0.150
			74.5						-0.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	H	Harrisburg Academy	8-	7	1	1		-1.55	-0.44
3/27	A	Central Dauphin	10-	9	1	-1	+	1.55	2.49
3/31	A	South-Western	3-	9	-6	-5		1.55	-1.07
4/12	H	Columbia-Montour	16-	2	14	15		-1.55	-0.54
4/19	A	State College	7-	8	-1	2	–	1.55	-2.94
4/26	H	Selinsgrove	21-	4	17	16		-1.55	1.43
5/01	H	Central Dauphin East	16-	3	13	4	+++	-1.55	8.67
5/05	H	New Oxford	16-	3	13	13		-1.55	0.00
5/08	H	State College	6-	7	-1	5	–––	-1.55	-6.03
5/09	H	Columbia-Montour	20-	3	17	15	+	-1.55	2.46
5/10	A	Selinsgrove	21-	8	13	12		1.55	0.53
5/22	H	Conestoga Valley	5-	14	-9	-4	––	-1.55	-4.57
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/12	H	Columbia-Montour	16-	2	0.54
4/26	H	Selinsgrove	21-	4	-1.43
5/01	H	Central Dauphin East	16-	3	-3.00
5/05	H	New Oxford	16-	3	0.00
5/09	H	Columbia-Montour	20-	3	-2.46
5/10	A	Selinsgrove	21-	8	-0.53
10-goal correction: -0.57

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	80.		Natl CCR Rank	1763
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.63		Natl Power Rank	1763
Natl SOS Rating	62.08		Natl SOS Rank	2410
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	1879
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	693
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.0


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