High School Computer Ratings

Lower Dauphin Falcons (11-6)

Region: PA Mid 1

State: PA

Coach: Larry Thomas

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
3/31	NORTHERN YORK (13-4)	PA York 1	83.0		W	15-	2	0.200
4/03	at Central Dauphin East (4-12)	PA Mid 1	75.2		W	20-	6	0.125
4/05	PALMYRA (10-9)	PA Mid 1	81.3		L	6-	10	-0.300
4/10	at Conestoga Valley (12-11)	PA LL04	83.4	9	L	6-	7	-0.150
4/14	at Chambersburg (9-8)	PA Mid 1	80.3		W	11-	10	0.250
4/18	ELIZABETHTOWN (1-12)	PA LL04	72.5		W	13-	0	0.000
4/20	at Carlisle (13-5)	PA Mid 1	87.1	6	L	7-	14	-0.100
4/23	at Bishop McDevitt (1-14)	PA Mid 1	69.8		W	14-	3	0.000
4/26	at Harrisburg Academy (5-10)	PA Mid 1	78.0		W	12-	8	0.200
4/28	RED LION (8-10)	PA York 1	78.7		W	13-	8	0.125
5/01	CENTRAL DAUPHIN (4-12)	PA Mid 1	76.6		W	9-	7	0.125
5/03	LANCASTER COU DAY (1-15)	PA LL04	72.5		W	17-	13	0.025
5/05	HERSHEY (12-6)	PA Mid 1	83.7	8	L	12-	15	-0.250
5/08	WARWICK (19-7)	PA LL04	88.2	5	L	7-	19	-0.175
5/12	DALLASTOWN (6-12)	PA York 1	73.6		W	16-	7	0.025
5/15	EPHRATA (7-12)	PA LL04	78.7		W	17-	5	0.100
5/17	CUMBERLAND VALLEY (15-4)	PA Mid 1	88.8	4	L	5-	17	-0.150
			81.3					0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/31	H	Northern York	15-	2	13	2	+++	-1.55	11.40
4/03	A	Central Dauphin East	20-	6	14	5	+++	1.55	8.99
4/05	H	Palmyra	6-	10	-4	2	–––	-1.55	-6.34
4/10	A	Conestoga Valley	6-	7	-1	-4	+	1.55	2.75
4/14	A	Chambersburg	11-	10	1	0		1.55	1.12
4/18	H	Elizabethtown	13-	0	13	10	+	-1.55	2.88
4/20	A	Carlisle	7-	14	-7	-6		1.55	-1.37
4/23	A	Bishop McDevitt	14-	3	11	10		1.55	0.91
4/26	A	Harrisburg Academy	12-	8	4	2		1.55	1.88
4/28	H	Red Lion	13-	8	5	5		-1.55	-0.21
5/01	H	Central Dauphin	9-	7	2	5	–	-1.55	-3.37
5/03	H	Lancaster Cou Day	17-	13	4	9	––	-1.55	-4.72
5/05	H	Hershey	12-	15	-3	0	–	-1.55	-3.44
5/08	H	Warwick	7-	19	-12	-3	–––	-1.55	-8.68
5/12	H	Dallastown	16-	7	9	9		-1.55	-0.28
5/15	H	Ephrata	17-	5	12	6	+++	-1.55	6.24
5/17	H	Cumberland Valley	5-	17	-12	-4	–––	-1.55	-7.77
									0.00	0.00