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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

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Lower Dauphin Falcons (11-6)

Region: PA Mid 1State: PACoach: Larry Thomas

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/31NORTHERN YORK (13-4)PA York 183.0W15- 2 0.200  
4/03at Central Dauphin East (4-12)PA Mid 175.2W20- 6 0.125  
4/05PALMYRA (10-9)PA Mid 181.3L6-10 -0.300  
4/10at Conestoga Valley (12-11)PA LL0483.49L6- 7 -0.150  
4/14at Chambersburg (9-8)PA Mid 180.3W11-10 0.250  
4/18ELIZABETHTOWN (1-12)PA LL0472.5W13- 0 0.000  
4/20at Carlisle (13-5)PA Mid 187.16L7-14 -0.100  
4/23at Bishop McDevitt (1-14)PA Mid 169.8W14- 3 0.000  
4/26at Harrisburg Academy (5-10)PA Mid 178.0W12- 8 0.200  
4/28RED LION (8-10)PA York 178.7W13- 8 0.125  
5/01CENTRAL DAUPHIN (4-12)PA Mid 176.6W9- 7 0.125  
5/03LANCASTER COU DAY (1-15)PA LL0472.5W17-13 0.025  
5/05HERSHEY (12-6)PA Mid 183.78L12-15 -0.250  
5/08WARWICK (19-7)PA LL0488.25L7-19 -0.175  
5/12DALLASTOWN (6-12)PA York 173.6W16- 7 0.025  
5/15EPHRATA (7-12)PA LL0478.7W17- 5 0.100  
5/17CUMBERLAND VALLEY (15-4)PA Mid 188.84L5-17 -0.150  
 81.3     0.05  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/31HNorthern York15-213   2       +++-1.55       11.40
4/03ACentral Dauphin East20-614   5       +++1.55       8.99
4/05HPalmyra6-10-4   2       –––-1.55       -6.34
4/10AConestoga Valley6-7-1   -4       +1.55       2.75
4/14AChambersburg11-101   0       1.55       1.12
4/18HElizabethtown13-013   10       +-1.55       2.88
4/20ACarlisle7-14-7   -6       1.55       -1.37
4/23ABishop McDevitt14-311   10       1.55       0.91
4/26AHarrisburg Academy12-84   2       1.55       1.88
4/28HRed Lion13-85   5       -1.55       -0.21
5/01HCentral Dauphin9-72   5       -1.55       -3.37
5/03HLancaster Cou Day17-134   9       ––-1.55       -4.72
5/05HHershey12-15-3   0       -1.55       -3.44
5/08HWarwick7-19-12   -3       –––-1.55       -8.68
5/12HDallastown16-79   9       -1.55       -0.28
5/15HEphrata17-512   6       +++-1.55       6.24
5/17HCumberland Valley5-17-12   -4       –––-1.55       -7.77
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/31HNorthern York15-2-3.00
4/03ACentral Dauphin East20-6-4.00
4/18HElizabethtown13-0-2.88
4/23ABishop McDevitt14-3-0.91
5/08HWarwick7-192.00
5/15HEphrata17-5-2.00
5/17HCumberland Valley5-172.00
10-goal correction: -0.52

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 83.   Natl CCR Rank 1486
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 81.45   Natl Power Rank 1486
Natl SOS Rating 72.69   Natl SOS Rank 1627
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.05   Natl Quality Win Rank 1212
W-L Pct Rating 0.65   W-L Pct Rank 754
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.9
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -3.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 4-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -1.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 3.0



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