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Lowell Red Arrows (7-12)

Region: MI 2

State: MI

Coach: Eric Bredin

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/23	at Holland Christian (9-9)	MI 2	83.0		L	0-	12		-0.100
3/27	GRAND RAPIDS CATH CENT (4-11)	MI 2	81.6		W	10-	6		0.225
3/29	at Holt (6-9)	MI 1	82.0		L	1-	12		-0.150
4/10	at Forest Hills Eastern (14-5)	MI 2	87.9		L	2-	15		0.000
4/17	at Grand Haven (7-9)	MI 1	82.9		L	10-	12		-0.125
4/19	at Grand Rapids Cath Cent (4-11)	MI 2	81.6		L	7-	8		-0.200
4/20	at Caledonia (7-8)	MI 4 Club	76.5		W	6-	5	ot	0.150
4/24	HOLLAND CHRISTIAN (9-9)	MI 2	83.0		L	6-	13		-0.200
4/26	FOREST HILLS EASTERN (14-5)	MI 2	87.9		L	4-	11		-0.075
4/28	at Portage Northern (3-10)	MI 2	76.1		W	12-	4		0.125
5/01	at Zeeland (8-9)	MI 2	83.7		L	9-	12		-0.100
5/03	GRAND HAVEN (7-9)	MI 1	82.9		W	9-	8		0.300
5/05	HOLLAND HS (9-6)	MI 4 Club	80.8		L	5-	11		-0.300
5/08	ZEELAND (8-9)	MI 2	83.7		L	5-	10		-0.200
5/12	at Caledonia (7-8)	MI 4 Club	76.5		L	5-	13		-0.350
5/16	GRAND RAPIDS CATH CENT (4-11)	MI 2	81.6		W	6-	2		0.225
5/19	KALAMAZOO CENTRAL (3-13)	MI 2	72.0		W	12-	0		0.000
5/22	at Davison (9-6)	MI 2	81.7		W	10-	7		0.250
5/29	vs. East Grand Rapids # (19-3)	MI 2	94.8	2	L	2-	18		0.000
# Neutral site			79.5						-0.52

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/23	A	Holland Christian	0-	12	-12	-6	–––	1.67	-6.32
3/27	H	Grand Rapids Cath Cent	10-	6	4	1	+	-1.67	2.86
3/29	A	Holt	1-	12	-11	-4	–––	1.67	-6.55
4/10	A	Forest Hills Eastern	2-	15	-13	-10	–	1.67	-3.06
4/17	A	Grand Haven	10-	12	-2	-5	+	1.67	3.25
4/19	A	Grand Rapids Cath Cent	7-	8	-1	-2		1.67	1.20
4/20	A	Caledonia	6-	5	1	4	–	1.29		-2.64
4/24	H	Holland Christian	6-	13	-7	-2	––	-1.67	-4.66
4/26	H	Forest Hills Eastern	4-	11	-7	-7		-1.67	-0.40
4/28	A	Portage Northern	12-	4	8	5	+	1.67	3.01
5/01	A	Zeeland	9-	12	-3	-6	+	1.67	2.67
5/03	H	Grand Haven	9-	8	1	-2	+	-1.67	2.90
5/05	H	Holland HS	5-	11	-6	2	–––	-1.29		-7.97
5/08	H	Zeeland	5-	10	-5	-2	–	-1.67	-2.67
5/12	A	Caledonia	5-	13	-8	4	–––	1.29		11.64
5/16	H	Grand Rapids Cath Cent	6-	2	4	1	+	-1.67	2.86
5/19	H	Kalamazoo Central	12-	0	12	10	+	-1.67	2.16
5/22	A	Davison	10-	7	3	0	+	1.67	2.85
5/29	N	East Grand Rapids	2-	18	-16	-16		0.00	-0.11
									0.00	-22.25

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/23	A	Holland Christian	0-	12	2.00
3/29	A	Holt	1-	12	1.00
4/10	A	Forest Hills Eastern	2-	15	3.00
5/19	H	Kalamazoo Central	12-	0	-2.16
5/29	N	East Grand Rapids	2-	18	0.11
10-goal correction: 0.21

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	83.		Natl CCR Rank	1508
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.43		Natl Power Rank	1508
Natl SOS Rating	69.13		Natl SOS Rank	2008
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.52		Natl Quality Win Rank	2282
W-L Pct Rating	0.37		W-L Pct Rank	1766
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.3


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