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Lewis Mills-Burlington Spartans (2-12)

Conference: Indep

Region: CT S

State: CT

Coach: Sean Callahan

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	ELLINGTON (7-10)	CT S	81.0		L	2-	10		-0.100
4/09	at Granby (8-10)	CT S	81.4		L	0-	12		0.000
4/10	at Suffield HS (12-6)	CT S	87.5		L	0-	13		0.000
4/18	at Brookfield (6-11)	CT M	85.3		L	1-	15		0.000
4/20	at Wilbur Cross (1-12)	CT L	68.3		L	4-	5		-0.300
5/02	at Morgan-Clinton (10-6)	CT S	87.3		L	1-	10		0.000
5/03	at East Catholic (7-10)	CT S	78.5		L	4-	11		-0.100
5/10	at Woodstock Academy (2-14)	CT M	72.9		W	6-	5		0.300
5/15	at Wilbur Cross (1-12)	CT L	68.3		W	12-	1		0.200
5/17	at Avon HS (12-8)	CT S	89.1		L	0-	20		0.000
5/21	at Tolland (9-9)	CT S	84.4		L	1-	12		0.000
5/22	at Wheeler-No Stonington (3-13)	CT S	70.2		L	3-	4	ot	-0.250
5/23	at Danbury (9-8)	CT L	88.5		L	3-	13		0.000
5/24	at Rockville (4-12)	CT M	75.7		L	2-	19		-0.100
			77.2						-0.35

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	H	Ellington	2-	10	-8	-6	–	-1.70	-2.30
4/09	A	Granby	0-	12	-12	-10		1.70	-1.89
4/10	A	Suffield HS	0-	13	-13	-15		1.70	1.62
4/18	A	Brookfield	1-	15	-14	-13		1.70	-1.26
4/20	A	Wilbur Cross	4-	5	-1	2	–	1.70	-3.29
5/02	A	Morgan-Clinton	1-	10	-9	-14	++	1.70	5.43
5/03	A	East Catholic	4-	11	-7	-6		1.70	-1.49
5/10	A	Woodstock Academy	6-	5	1	-2	+	1.70	2.94
5/15	A	Wilbur Cross	12-	1	11	2	+++	1.70	8.71
5/17	A	Avon HS	0-	20	-20	-17	–	1.70	-2.93
5/21	A	Tolland	1-	12	-11	-12		1.70	0.72
5/22	A	Wheeler-No Stonington	3-	4	-1	0		1.70	-1.37
5/23	A	Danbury	3-	13	-10	-16	+++	1.70	6.00
5/24	A	Rockville	2-	19	-17	-6	–––	1.70	10.89
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/09	A	Granby	0-	12	2.00
4/10	A	Suffield HS	0-	13	-1.62
4/18	A	Brookfield	1-	15	1.26
5/15	A	Wilbur Cross	12-	1	-1.00
5/17	A	Avon HS	0-	20	2.93
5/21	A	Tolland	1-	12	-0.72
5/23	A	Danbury	3-	13	-6.00
5/24	A	Rockville	2-	19	7.00
10-goal correction: 0.27

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	73.		Natl CCR Rank	2343
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	72.58		Natl Power Rank	2343
Natl SOS Rating	65.37		Natl SOS Rank	2237
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.35		Natl Quality Win Rank	1936
W-L Pct Rating	0.14		W-L Pct Rank	2351
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-7.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.3


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