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Malden Catholic Lancers (5-13)

Conference: Catholic

Region: MA 1

State: MA

Coach: Rick Mazzei

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/31	ACTON BOXBOROUGH (10-11)	MA 1	90.4		W	12-	2		0.250
4/02	HAMILTON-WENHAM (10-10)	MA 3	88.6		W	13-	9		0.150
4/07	vs. Beverly # (17-5)	MA 1	93.3	9	L	5-	6		-0.150
4/10	at Xaverian Bros (22-1)	MA 1	97.6	1	L	6-	13		0.000
4/11	CATHOLIC MEMORIAL (12-8)	MA 2	92.3		L	3-	17		-0.150
4/14	LASALLE ACADEMY (8-9)	RI Div-1	92.6		W	13-	11		0.300
4/21	at Plymouth-Whitemarsh (12-5)	PA SubAmer	90.7		L	6-	10		-0.175
4/27	at Boston College HS (15-5)	MA 1	94.1	7	L	4-	9		-0.100
4/30	ST JOHNS PREP DANVERS (12-8)	MA 1	93.0		W	7-	5		0.350
5/03	XAVERIAN BROS (22-1)	MA 1	97.6	1	L	3-	11		-0.075
5/05	at Peabody (13-6)	MA 1	91.7		L	6-	11		-0.150
5/07	at Catholic Memorial (12-8)	MA 2	92.3		L	3-	13		-0.100
5/09	at Bishop Hendricken (16-2)	RI Div-1	95.2		L	3-	16		-0.075
5/15	BOSTON COLLEGE HS (15-5)	MA 1	94.1	7	L	5-	12		-0.175
5/17	at St Johns Prep Danvers (12-8)	MA 1	93.0		L	6-	14		-0.100
5/19	CHELMSFORD (13-10)	MA 1	90.8		L	7-	9		-0.250
5/21	ARLINGTON (13-7)	MA 2	90.9		W	5-	4		0.250
5/24	at St Johns Shrewsbury (18-3)	MA 2	92.0		L	8-	11		-0.175
# Neutral site			92.2						-0.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/31	H	Acton Boxborough	12-	2	10	0	+++	-1.16	10.03
4/02	H	Hamilton-Wenham	13-	9	4	4		-1.16	-0.02
4/07	N	Beverly	5-	6	-1	-4	+	0.00	2.81
4/10	A	Xaverian Bros	6-	13	-7	-10	+	1.16	2.57
4/11	H	Catholic Memorial	3-	17	-14	-4	–––	-1.16	10.14
4/14	H	LaSalle Academy	13-	11	2	-2	++	-1.20		4.03
4/21	A	Plymouth-Whitemarsh	6-	10	-4	-3		1.23		-1.37
4/27	A	Boston College HS	4-	9	-5	-6		1.16	0.65
4/30	H	St Johns Prep Danvers	7-	5	2	-4	++	-1.16	5.70
5/03	H	Xaverian Bros	3-	11	-8	-7		-1.16	-0.75
5/05	A	Peabody	6-	11	-5	-4		1.16	-1.12
5/07	A	Catholic Memorial	3-	13	-10	-6	–	1.16	-3.83
5/09	A	Bishop Hendricken	3-	16	-13	-7	––	1.20		-5.97
5/15	H	Boston College HS	5-	12	-7	-3	–	-1.16	-3.66
5/17	A	St Johns Prep Danvers	6-	14	-8	-6		1.16	-1.98
5/19	H	Chelmsford	7-	9	-2	0		-1.16	-1.52
5/21	H	Arlington	5-	4	1	0		-1.16	1.27
5/24	A	St Johns Shrewsbury	8-	11	-3	-3		0.74		0.41
									0.00	-2.90

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	H	Acton Boxborough	12-	2	0.00
4/11	H	Catholic Memorial	3-	17	4.00
5/07	A	Catholic Memorial	3-	13	0.00
5/09	A	Bishop Hendricken	3-	16	3.00
10-goal correction: 0.39

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	90.		Natl CCR Rank	665
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.33		Natl Power Rank	665
Natl SOS Rating	94.16		Natl SOS Rank	47
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	2014
W-L Pct Rating	0.28		W-L Pct Rank	2046
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3


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