| Region: VA Liberty | State: VA | Coach: Nate Dewey |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/13 | EDISON (6-10) | VA Nationl | 82.7 | | W | 15- | 5 | | 0.000 |
3/19 | at Westfield (15-6) | VA Concord | 93.8 | 2 | L | 9- | 10 | | -0.150 |
3/27 | STONE BRIDGE (4-9) | VA Liberty | 82.1 | | W | 14- | 4 | | 0.000 |
3/30 | at McLean (5-11) | VA Liberty | 85.9 | | W | 9- | 6 | | 0.175 |
4/04 | vs. Walter Johnson # (10-6) | MD 43 West | 84.9 | | W | 8- | 2 | | 0.100 |
4/04 | at Whitman (8-8) | MD 43 West | 84.1 | | W | 8- | 3 | | 0.100 |
4/07 | vs. Archbishop Spalding # (8-11) | MD A MIAA | 93.3 | | L | 6- | 15 | | -0.200 |
4/07 | vs. Mount Hebron # (12-6) | MD 32 South | 90.8 | | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.250 |
4/09 | THOS JEFFERSON (7-7) | VA Liberty | 88.0 | | W | 13- | 10 | | 0.150 |
4/18 | at South Lakes (4-8) | VA Liberty | 82.3 | | W | 14- | 4 | | 0.050 |
4/24 | at Woodson (14-6) | VA Liberty | 93.1 | 3 | L | 5- | 13 | | -0.175 |
4/26 | MARSHALL (2-10) | VA Liberty | 78.9 | | W | 16- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/30 | LANGLEY (12-4) | VA Liberty | 93.0 | 5 | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.225 |
5/07 | SOUTH LAKES (4-8) | VA Liberty | 82.3 | | W | 14- | 8 | | 0.000 |
5/09 | vs. Langley # (12-4) | VA Liberty | 93.0 | 5 | L | 3- | 4 | | -0.200 |
5/15 | at Mount Vernon (7-9) | VA Nationl | 83.1 | | W | 15- | 2 | | 0.025 |
5/17 | at Robinson (18-2) | VA Concord | 96.4 | 1 | L | 8- | 15 | | -0.075 |
| # Neutral site | | 86.8 | | | | | | -0.17 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/13 | H | Edison | 15- | 5 | 10 | 11 | | -1.19 | -0.77 | |
3/19 | A | Westfield | 9- | 10 | -1 | -4 | + | 1.19 | 3.01 | |
3/27 | H | Stone Bridge | 14- | 4 | 10 | 11 | | -1.19 | -0.63 | |
3/30 | A | McLean | 9- | 6 | 3 | 3 | | 1.19 | 0.31 | |
4/04 | N | Walter Johnson | 8- | 2 | 6 | 6 | | 0.00 | | -0.14 |
4/04 | A | Whitman | 8- | 3 | 5 | 6 | | 0.96 | | -1.03 |
4/07 | N | Archbishop Spalding | 6- | 15 | -9 | -2 | ––– | 0.00 | | -6.78 |
4/07 | N | Mount Hebron | 10- | 9 | 1 | 0 | | 0.00 | | 0.73 |
4/09 | H | Thos Jefferson | 13- | 10 | 3 | 4 | | -1.19 | -0.85 | |
4/18 | A | South Lakes | 14- | 4 | 10 | 8 | + | 1.19 | 2.00 | |
4/24 | A | Woodson | 5- | 13 | -8 | -3 | –– | 1.19 | -5.02 | |
4/26 | H | Marshall | 16- | 1 | 15 | 13 | | -1.19 | 1.96 | |
4/30 | H | Langley | 7- | 8 | -1 | -1 | | -1.19 | -0.28 | |
5/07 | H | South Lakes | 14- | 8 | 6 | 10 | –– | -1.19 | -4.38 | |
5/09 | N | Langley | 3- | 4 | -1 | -2 | | 0.00 | 0.91 | |
5/15 | A | Mount Vernon | 15- | 2 | 13 | 9 | + | 1.19 | 3.90 | |
5/17 | A | Robinson | 8- | 15 | -7 | -7 | | 1.19 | -0.17 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -7.21 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/13 | H | Edison | 15- | 5 | 0.77 |
3/27 | H | Stone Bridge | 14- | 4 | 0.63 |
4/18 | A | South Lakes | 14- | 4 | 0.00 |
4/26 | H | Marshall | 16- | 1 | -1.96 |
5/15 | A | Mount Vernon | 15- | 2 | -3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.21 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 92. | | Natl CCR Rank | 426 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 91.05 | | Natl Power Rank | 426 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 82.86 | | Natl SOS Rank | 577 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.17 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1706 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.65 | | W-L Pct Rank | 756 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -3.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -3.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -1.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.7 |
| 
