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Marcellus Mustangs (9-10)

Conference: OSHL2

Region: NY C Sec 3

State: NY

Coach: Pete Ruddy

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	at Homer (4-14)	NY C Sec 3	89.0		W	10-	5		0.225
3/30	CENTRAL SQUARE (6-12)	NY A Sec 3	89.8		W	11-	8		0.175
3/31	IROQUOIS (6-13)	NY B Sec 6	81.6		W	17-	5		0.000
4/03	JORDAN-ELBRIDGE (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	92.4		L	8-	10		-0.275
4/05	CAZENOVIA CENTRAL (12-8)	NY C Sec 3	94.3		L	9-	10		-0.250
4/10	WESTHILL (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	93.2		W	9-	6		0.250
4/12	at Skaneateles (15-6)	NY C Sec 3	96.4	10	L	5-	10		-0.075
4/20	MANLIUS-PEBBLE HILL (1-17)	NY C Sec 3	81.4		W	14-	1		0.000
4/24	at Lafayette (16-4)	NY C Sec 3	97.3	7	L	9-	14		-0.075
4/26	BISHOP LUDDEN (4-12)	NY C Sec 3	87.7		W	13-	12		0.075
4/28	at Onondaga Central (12-7)	NY C Sec 3	94.5		L	5-	8		-0.175
5/02	CHRISTIAN BROS (21-2)	NY C Sec 3	98.4	3	L	9-	19		-0.075
5/04	at Tully (14-6)	NY C Sec 3	94.6		L	9-	14		-0.175
5/09	at Jordan-Elbridge (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	92.4		L	9-	12		-0.200
5/12	at Cazenovia Central (12-8)	NY C Sec 3	94.3		W	10-	9	ot	0.325
5/14	at Westhill (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	93.2		W	10-	6		0.325
5/16	SKANEATELES (15-6)	NY C Sec 3	96.4	10	L	5-	13		-0.150
5/18	GENERAL BROWN (2-13)	NY C Sec 3	83.5		W	14-	7		0.000
5/22	at Cazenovia Central (12-8)	NY C Sec 3	94.3		L	6-	8		-0.175
			86.6						-0.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	A	Homer	10-	5	5	1	+	1.48	3.93
3/30	H	Central Square	11-	8	3	3		-1.48	-0.46
3/31	H	Iroquois	17-	5	12	12		-1.44		0.08
4/03	H	Jordan-Elbridge	8-	10	-2	1	–	-1.48	-2.63
4/05	H	Cazenovia Central	9-	10	-1	0		-1.48	-1.08
4/10	H	Westhill	9-	6	3	0	+	-1.48	3.21
4/12	A	Skaneateles	5-	10	-5	-7		1.48	1.76
4/20	H	Manlius-Pebble Hill	14-	1	13	12		-1.48	0.83
4/24	A	Lafayette	9-	14	-5	-7	+	1.48	2.24
4/26	H	Bishop Ludden	13-	12	1	7	–––	-1.48	-6.04
4/28	A	Onondaga Central	5-	8	-3	-3		1.48	0.11
5/02	H	Christian Bros	9-	19	-10	-7	–	-1.48	-3.42
5/04	A	Tully	9-	14	-5	-3	–	1.48	-2.35
5/09	A	Jordan-Elbridge	9-	12	-3	-2		1.48	-0.66
5/12	A	Cazenovia Central	10-	9	1	-3	+	1.48	3.89
5/14	A	Westhill	10-	6	4	-3	+++	1.48	7.18
5/16	H	Skaneateles	5-	13	-8	-4	––	-1.48	-4.20
5/18	H	General Brown	14-	7	7	10	–	-1.48	-3.19
5/22	A	Cazenovia Central	6-	8	-2	-3		1.48	0.89
									0.00	0.08

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	H	Iroquois	17-	5	-0.08
4/20	H	Manlius-Pebble Hill	14-	1	-0.83
5/02	H	Christian Bros	9-	19	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.05

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	93.		Natl CCR Rank	354
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.13		Natl Power Rank	354
Natl SOS Rating	82.61		Natl SOS Rank	597
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.25		Natl Quality Win Rank	1793
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1378
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.0


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