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Mariemont Warriors (14-4)

Region: OH 2 Reg 4

State: OH

Coach: Tad George

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	GLENBROOK NORTH (6-14)	IL CenSub	84.4		W	18-	9		0.000
3/28	SUMMIT COUNTRY DAY (2-13)	OH 2 Reg 4	74.9		W	16-	1		0.000
3/31	at Milford (16-6)	OH 4 South	86.5		W	13-	4		0.125
4/13	CINCINNATI INDIAN HILL (11-6)	OH 1 Reg 4	93.6		L	3-	4		-0.275
4/17	CINCINNATI COU DAY (13-9)	OH 2 Reg 4	86.3	5	W	14-	7		0.075
4/20	CATHEDRAL (8-8)	IN ICC	85.6		W	10-	4		0.000
4/24	at Wilmington (1-15)	OH 2 Reg 4	62.9		W	17-	1		0.000
4/26	at Cincinnati St Xavier (15-6)	OH 1 Reg 4	94.8		L	8-	13		-0.175
4/28	at Columbus St Charles (12-5)	OH 1 Reg 2	93.4		L	10-	12		-0.200
5/01	at Archbishop Moeller (16-5)	OH 1 Reg 4	96.7		L	10-	17		-0.125
5/08	FENWICK (7-6)	OH 2 Reg 4	81.2		W	18-	2		0.000
5/12	at Liberty-Olentangy (8-9)	OH 1 Reg 2	89.8		W	10-	9		0.200
5/15	LAKOTA WEST (10-7)	OH 1 Reg 4	90.7		W	7-	4		0.150
5/16	at Cincinnati Sycamore (8-10)	OH 1 Reg 4	88.7		W	7-	6		0.175
5/23	FENWICK (7-6)	OH 2 Reg 4	81.2		W	18-	2		0.000
5/26	CINCINNATI COU DAY (13-9)	OH 2 Reg 4	86.3	5	W	15-	8		0.075
5/30	vs. University School # (10-8)	OH 2 Reg 1	88.1	4	W	10-	9		0.200
6/02	vs. New Albany # (15-5)	OH 2 Reg 3	89.6	3	W	7-	4		1.225
# Neutral site			86.2						1.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	H	Glenbrook North	18-	9	9	10		-1.43		-1.04
3/28	H	Summit Country Day	16-	1	15	15		-1.68	-0.40
3/31	A	Milford	13-	4	9	5	+	1.30		3.79
4/13	H	Cincinnati Indian Hill	3-	4	-1	1		-1.28		-1.64
4/17	H	Cincinnati Cou Day	14-	7	7	7		-1.68	0.30
4/20	H	Cathedral	10-	4	6	10	–	-2.18		-3.59
4/24	A	Wilmington	17-	1	16	22	–––	1.68	-6.49
4/26	A	Cincinnati St Xavier	8-	13	-5	-3		1.28		-1.90
4/28	A	Columbus St Charles	10-	12	-2	-2		1.28		-0.32
5/01	A	Archbishop Moeller	10-	17	-7	-5		1.28		-1.99
5/08	H	Fenwick	18-	2	16	13	+	-1.68	2.55
5/12	A	Liberty-Olentangy	10-	9	1	2		1.28		-0.93
5/15	H	Lakota West	7-	4	3	4		-1.28		-0.53
5/16	A	Cincinnati Sycamore	7-	6	1	3	–	1.28		-2.06
5/23	H	Fenwick	18-	2	16	13	+	-1.68	2.55
5/26	H	Cincinnati Cou Day	15-	8	7	7		-1.68	0.30
5/30	N	University School	10-	9	1	2		0.00	-0.55
6/02	N	New Albany	7-	4	3	1		0.00	1.74
									0.00	-10.22

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/28	H	Summit Country Day	16-	1	0.40
4/24	A	Wilmington	17-	1	6.49
5/08	H	Fenwick	18-	2	-2.55
5/23	H	Fenwick	18-	2	-2.55
10-goal correction: 0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	93.		Natl CCR Rank	332
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	93.00		Natl Power Rank	332
Natl SOS Rating	82.05		Natl SOS Rank	665
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	83
W-L Pct Rating	0.78		W-L Pct Rank	322
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	4.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	8.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.7


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