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Montgomery Bell Acad Big Red (11-6)

Region: TN 1 East

State: TN

Coach: John Harvey

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/10	CARMEL (13-5)	IN Indep	90.7		W	10-	1		0.175
3/16	at St Mark's (17-4)	TX 1 North	96.6		W	11-	10		0.425
3/17	at Episcopal Dallas (15-3)	TX 1 North	97.5		L	3-	9		-0.050
3/17	at Highland Park (10-4)	TX 1 North	95.1		L	9-	10		-0.100
3/18	at Dallas Jesuit (16-4)	TX 1 North	93.4		L	5-	11		-0.150
3/30	at Houston (8-9)	TN 1 West	82.2	6	W	10-	4		0.050
3/31	HERITAGE CHRISTIAN (11-6)	IN Indep	89.5		W	11-	10		0.150
4/05	MEMPHIS UNIV SCHOOL (15-5)	TN 1 West	91.5	2	L	12-	13		-0.350
4/07	vs. Louisville St Xavier # (15-7)	KY Div-1	89.3		W	13-	9		0.200
4/13	PACE ACADEMY (8-8)	GA Area01	90.2		W	12-	7		0.200
4/14	LOVETT (14-4)	GA Area08	94.3		W	11-	6		0.300
4/27	at McCallie (8-6)	TN 1 East	89.2	4	W	9-	8	ot	0.300
4/28	FARRAGUT (6-5)	TN 1 East	77.9	8	W	18-	4		0.000
4/30	WEBB BELL BUCKLE (9-7)	TN 1 East	78.0	7	W	19-	2		0.000
5/04	RAVENWOOD (19-2)	TN 1 East	95.2	1	L	5-	6		-0.250
5/11	HOUSTON (8-9)	TN 1 West	82.2	6	W	20-	1		0.000
5/18	vs. Memphis Univ School # (15-5)	TN 1 West	91.5	2	L	7-	8	ot	-0.300
# Neutral site			90.7						0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/10	H	Carmel	10-	1	9	3	+++	-2.30		6.24
3/16	A	St Mark's	11-	10	1	-7	+++	1.67		8.10
3/17	A	Episcopal Dallas	3-	9	-6	-8	+	1.67		2.02
3/17	A	Highland Park	9-	10	-1	-6	++	1.67		4.63
3/18	A	Dallas Jesuit	5-	11	-6	-4	–	1.67		-2.04
3/30	A	Houston	10-	4	6	8		1.94	-1.56
3/31	H	Heritage Christian	11-	10	1	4	–	-2.30		-2.91
4/05	H	Memphis Univ School	12-	13	-1	4	––	-1.94	-4.52
4/07	N	Louisville St Xavier	13-	9	4	2	+	0.00		2.17
4/13	H	Pace Academy	12-	7	5	2	+	-1.54		2.56
4/14	H	Lovett	11-	6	5	-2	+++	-1.54		6.65
4/27	A	McCallie	9-	8	1	-2	+	1.94	2.71
4/28	H	Farragut	18-	4	14	16	–	-1.94	-2.28
4/30	H	Webb Bell Buckle	19-	2	17	15		-1.94	1.95
5/04	H	Ravenwood	5-	6	-1	0		-1.94	-1.29
5/11	H	Houston	20-	1	19	11	+++	-1.94	7.56
5/18	N	Memphis Univ School	7-	8	-1	2	–	0.00	-2.58
									0.00	27.41

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/28	H	Farragut	18-	4	2.28
4/30	H	Webb Bell Buckle	19-	2	-1.95
5/11	H	Houston	20-	1	-7.56
10-goal correction: -0.43

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	379
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	91.15		Natl Power Rank	379
Natl SOS Rating	92.02		Natl SOS Rank	75
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	671
W-L Pct Rating	0.65		W-L Pct Rank	755
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-0.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	5-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	6.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	6.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.7


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