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Malibu Sharks (1-10)

Conference: D1

Region: CA Indep

State: CA

Coach: Geoff Watson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/27	at Crespi (7-12)	CA Mission	78.4		L	4-	9		-0.150
3/13	PALISADES CHARTER (13-2)	CA Indep	88.6	9	L	7-	13		-0.075
3/21	at Oaks Christian (5-11)	CA Condor	74.8		L	6-	10		-0.250
3/26	at Palisades Charter (13-2)	CA Indep	88.6	9	L	3-	12		-0.025
3/31	CORONA DEL MAR (12-7)	CA Seaview	89.4	5	L	3-	13		0.000
4/10	at Valhalla (9-11)	CA Grosmnt	83.6		L	3-	9		0.000
4/13	BRENTWOOD SCHOOL (8-7)	CA Mission	81.9		L	3-	15		-0.175
4/16	at Manual Arts HS (1-10)	CA Indep	63.5		W	14-	3		0.050
4/21	at Cate School (13-4)	CA Condor	89.0	8	L	4-	15		0.000
4/28	at Harvard-Westlake (10-6)	CA Mission	84.9		L	6-	7	ot	-0.050
5/04	at Thacher School (9-2)	CA Condor	87.9	10	L	5-	12		-0.025
			84.1						-0.70

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/27	A	Crespi	4-	9	-5	-4		1.07	-1.28
3/13	H	Palisades Charter	7-	13	-6	-7		-1.07	1.21
3/21	A	Oaks Christian	6-	10	-4	0	–	1.07	-3.88
3/26	A	Palisades Charter	3-	12	-9	-9		1.07	0.34
3/31	H	Corona Del Mar	3-	13	-10	-10		-1.07	0.33
4/10	A	Valhalla	3-	9	-6	-11	++	0.80		5.16
4/13	H	Brentwood School	3-	15	-12	-3	–––	-1.07	-8.85
4/16	A	Manual Arts HS	14-	3	11	8	+	1.07	2.96
4/21	A	Cate School	4-	15	-11	-11		1.07	-0.40
4/28	A	Harvard-Westlake	6-	7	-1	-8	+++	1.07	7.20
5/04	A	Thacher School	5-	12	-7	-9	+	1.07	2.39
									0.00	5.16

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	H	Corona Del Mar	3-	13	0.00
4/13	H	Brentwood School	3-	15	2.00
4/16	A	Manual Arts HS	14-	3	-1.00
4/21	A	Cate School	4-	15	0.40
10-goal correction: 0.13

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	2180
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.24		Natl Power Rank	2180
Natl SOS Rating	77.88		Natl SOS Rank	1102
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.70		Natl Quality Win Rank	2417
W-L Pct Rating	0.09		W-L Pct Rank	2446
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	1-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.3


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