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Erie-McDowell Trojans (7-9)

Region: PA 2DNORTH

State: PA

Coach: Todd Powers

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/27	TAYLOR ALLDERDICE (3-13)	PA 2DNORTH	72.9		W	9-	8		0.100
3/31	BALDWIN (7-11)	PA 2DSOUTH	80.5		L	9-	10		-0.225
4/17	at Trinity (10-6)	PA 2DNORTH	81.7		W	14-	13		0.350
4/19	BUTLER AREA (8-10)	PA 2DNORTH	79.8		W	4-	3		0.250
4/21	NORTH HILLS (11-8)	PA 2DNORTH	83.7		L	8-	10		-0.175
4/25	at Hampton (6-10)	PA 1DSOUTH	86.6		L	6-	11		0.000
4/27	at Latrobe (3-7)	PA 2DNORTH	74.4		W	11-	5		0.225
4/28	at Kiski Prep (14-8)	PA 2DNORTH	86.3		L	6-	14		-0.050
5/03	VINCENTIAN ACADEMY (6-10)	PA 2DNORTH	73.7		W	8-	5		0.100
5/05	PINE RICHLAND (6-10)	PA 1DNORTH	87.5		L	1-	14		-0.025
5/05	vs. Green-Akron # (11-8)	OH 2 Reg 2	82.0		L	7-	13		-0.175
5/07	SHALER AREA (7-9)	PA 2DNORTH	78.9		L	7-	9		-0.300
5/10	CATHEDRAL PREP (0-12)	PA 2DNORTH	63.3		W	13-	1		0.000
5/15	at Erie-Spears (11-3)	NY I Sec 6	78.1		L	7-	8	ot	-0.250
5/18	SHALER AREA (7-9)	PA 2DNORTH	78.9		W	10-	8		0.200
5/23	at North Hills (11-8)	PA 2DNORTH	83.7		L	7-	12		-0.100
# Neutral site			78.0						-0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	H	Taylor Allderdice	9-	8	1	6	––	-1.47	-4.77
3/31	H	Baldwin	9-	10	-1	-1		-1.47	-0.04
4/17	A	Trinity	14-	13	1	-4	++	1.47	4.76
4/19	H	Butler Area	4-	3	1	0		-1.47	1.32
4/21	H	North Hills	8-	10	-2	-3		-1.47	0.79
4/25	A	Hampton	6-	11	-5	-10	++	1.47	5.27
4/27	A	Latrobe	11-	5	6	1	++	1.47	4.81
4/28	A	Kiski Prep	6-	14	-8	-8		1.47	0.28
5/03	H	Vincentian Academy	8-	5	3	6	–	-1.47	-3.15
5/05	H	Pine Richland	1-	14	-13	-9	––	-1.47	-4.19
5/05	N	Green-Akron	7-	13	-6	-3	–	0.00		-2.84
5/07	H	Shaler Area	7-	9	-2	2	–	-1.47	-3.78
5/10	H	Cathedral Prep	13-	1	12	14	–	-1.47	-2.24
5/15	A	Erie-Spears	7-	8	-1	0		1.16		-0.56
5/18	H	Shaler Area	10-	8	2	2		-1.47	0.22
5/23	A	North Hills	7-	12	-5	-6		1.47	0.74
									0.00	-3.40

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/05	H	Pine Richland	1-	14	3.00
5/10	H	Cathedral Prep	13-	1	2.24
10-goal correction: 0.33

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	1912
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.81		Natl Power Rank	1912
Natl SOS Rating	66.67		Natl SOS Rank	2159
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	1498
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1546
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3

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