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Monarch Coyotes (11-7)

Region: CO Foothil

State: CO

Coach: David Auday

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/08	BOULDER (6-10)	CO Centenn	81.3		W	14-	7		0.075
3/10	at Green Mountain (10-5)	CO Foothil	86.8		W	7-	4		0.200
3/14	at Alexander Dawson (9-6)	CO Foothil	86.0		L	3-	7		-0.300
3/16	STEAMBOAT SPRINGS (4-7)	CO Foothil	79.9		W	15-	4		0.025
3/21	GOLDEN (10-6)	CO Foothil	88.4		W	6-	2		0.250
3/27	at Francis Parker (4-11)	CA Coastal	83.7		L	5-	7		-0.325
3/28	at Fallbrook (5-14)	CA North	79.8		W	11-	2		0.075
3/30	at Rancho Bernardo (11-8)	CA North	88.1		L	7-	8		-0.225
4/07	at Fort Collins Unified (15-4)	CO Foothil	97.9	2	L	3-	6		-0.050
4/09	ENGLEWOOD (2-12)	CO Foothil	74.2		W	15-	0		0.000
4/11	SUMMIT (3-7)	CO Foothil	79.3		W	12-	2		0.050
4/18	MOUNTAIN RANGE (2-12)	CO Foothil	76.9		W	13-	2		0.000
4/21	COLUMBINE (11-5)	CO Foothil	91.2	8	L	6-	8		-0.200
4/25	WHEAT RIDGE (9-6)	CO Foothil	85.2		W	9-	8		0.175
4/28	EVERGREEN (5-9)	CO Foothil	80.1		W	14-	2		0.075
5/02	FAIRVIEW (10-5)	CO Centenn	89.8		L	4-	6		-0.225
5/05	LEWIS PALMER (9-8)	CO South	83.3		W	10-	5		0.125
5/09	at Mullen (13-4)	CO Centenn	95.1	6	L	3-	15		-0.075
			86.2						-0.35

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/08	H	Boulder	14-	7	7	7		-0.59	0.05
3/10	A	Green Mountain	7-	4	3	2		0.59	1.38
3/14	A	Alexander Dawson	3-	7	-4	2	–––	0.59	-6.32
3/16	H	Steamboat Springs	15-	4	11	9		-0.59	1.91
3/21	H	Golden	6-	2	4	0	+	-0.59	3.93
3/27	A	Francis Parker	5-	7	-2	3	––	0.56		-5.39
3/28	A	Fallbrook	11-	2	9	7		0.56		1.72
3/30	A	Rancho Bernardo	7-	8	-1	-1		0.56		0.03
4/07	A	Fort Collins Unified	3-	6	-3	-8	++	0.59	4.96
4/09	H	Englewood	15-	0	15	18	–	-0.59	-3.05
4/11	H	Summit	12-	2	10	8	+	-0.59	2.37
4/18	H	Mountain Range	13-	2	11	12		-0.59	-0.78
4/21	H	Columbine	6-	8	-2	-2		-0.59	-0.29
4/25	H	Wheat Ridge	9-	8	1	3	–	-0.59	-2.19
4/28	H	Evergreen	14-	2	12	7	++	-0.59	4.56
5/02	H	Fairview	4-	6	-2	-1		-0.59	-0.99
5/05	H	Lewis Palmer	10-	5	5	5		-0.59	-0.30
5/09	A	Mullen	3-	15	-12	-7	––	0.59	-5.24
									0.00	-3.65

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/16	H	Steamboat Springs	15-	4	-1.00
4/09	H	Englewood	15-	0	3.05
4/11	H	Summit	12-	2	0.00
4/18	H	Mountain Range	13-	2	0.78
4/28	H	Evergreen	14-	2	-2.00
5/09	A	Mullen	3-	15	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.16

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	90.		Natl CCR Rank	700
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.63		Natl Power Rank	700
Natl SOS Rating	82.09		Natl SOS Rank	659
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.35		Natl Quality Win Rank	2011
W-L Pct Rating	0.61		W-L Pct Rank	862
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.0


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