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Medfield Warriors (23-2)

Conference: TriVal

Region: MA 2

State: MA

Coach: Bob Aronson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/30	at Dover-Sherborn (17-4)	MA 3	92.0		W	12-	8		0.125
4/03	at Ashland (2-16)	MA 3	80.3		W	13-	2		0.000
4/05	WESTWOOD (6-14)	MA 3	84.2		W	14-	0		0.000
4/07	WELLESLEY (18-5)	MA 2	93.4	8	W	13-	2		0.100
4/10	at Holliston (10-8)	MA 2	88.8		W	14-	4		0.000
4/13	BELLINGHAM (3-17)	MA 3	75.4		W	21-	4		0.000
4/17	XAVERIAN BROS (22-1)	MA 1	97.6	1	L	7-	9		-0.275
4/20	GLASTONBURY (12-8)	CT L	94.2		W	8-	7		0.125
4/24	MEDWAY (11-10)	MA 3	87.9		W	20-	3		0.000
4/26	at Hopkinton (10-10)	MA 2	89.6		W	12-	3		0.075
5/01	DOVER-SHERBORN (17-4)	MA 3	92.0		W	13-	3		0.050
5/04	ASHLAND (2-16)	MA 3	80.3		W	18-	0		0.000
5/06	at Longmeadow (17-6)	MA 2	95.8		L	6-	10		-0.275
5/08	at Westwood (6-14)	MA 3	84.2		W	17-	2		0.000
5/10	HOLLISTON (10-8)	MA 2	88.8		W	13-	6		0.000
5/15	at Bellingham (3-17)	MA 3	75.4		W	17-	1		0.000
5/17	at Medway (11-10)	MA 3	87.9		W	16-	4		0.000
5/19	BEVERLY (17-5)	MA 1	93.3	9	W	17-	6		0.100
5/22	HOPKINTON (10-10)	MA 2	89.6		W	19-	6		0.025
5/24	ST JOHNS PREP DANVERS (12-8)	MA 1	93.0		W	11-	7		0.125
6/01	SANDWICH (13-7)	MA 2	89.9		W	19-	5		0.000
6/05	HINGHAM (11-10)	MA 2	90.8		W	12-	2		0.050
6/08	WELLESLEY (18-5)	MA 2	93.4	8	W	16-	8		0.100
6/12	CONCORD CARLISLE (17-7)	MA 2	92.3		W	18-	6		0.050
6/16	at Longmeadow (17-6)	MA 2	95.8		W	14-	8		1.225
			87.9						1.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/30	A	Dover-Sherborn	12-	8	4	5		1.16	-1.28
4/03	A	Ashland	13-	2	11	17	––	1.16	-5.80
4/05	H	Westwood	14-	0	14	16	–	-1.16	-2.15
4/07	H	Wellesley	13-	2	11	6	++	-1.16	5.26
4/10	A	Holliston	14-	4	10	10		1.16	-0.11
4/13	H	Bellingham	21-	4	17	25	–––	-1.16	-7.63
4/17	H	Xaverian Bros	7-	9	-2	1	–	-1.16	-3.34
4/20	H	Glastonbury	8-	7	1	5	–	-1.43		-3.70
4/24	H	Medway	20-	3	17	15	+	-1.16	2.06
4/26	A	Hopkinton	12-	3	9	7	+	1.16	2.40
5/01	H	Dover-Sherborn	13-	3	10	8	+	-1.16	2.40
5/04	H	Ashland	18-	0	18	19		-1.16	-1.11
5/06	A	Longmeadow	6-	10	-4	1	––	0.92		-4.73
5/08	A	Westwood	17-	2	15	14		1.16	1.16
5/10	H	Holliston	13-	6	7	12	––	-1.16	-5.42
5/15	A	Bellingham	17-	1	16	22	–––	1.16	-6.32
5/17	A	Medway	16-	4	12	13		1.16	-0.62
5/19	H	Beverly	17-	6	11	6	++	-1.16	5.05
5/22	H	Hopkinton	19-	6	13	9	++	-1.16	4.08
5/24	H	St Johns Prep Danvers	11-	7	4	5		-1.16	-0.90
6/01	H	Sandwich	19-	5	14	10	+	-1.16	3.59
6/05	H	Hingham	12-	2	10	8	+	-1.16	2.10
6/08	H	Wellesley	16-	8	8	6	+	-1.16	2.26
6/12	H	Concord Carlisle	18-	6	12	8	++	-1.16	4.30
6/16	A	Longmeadow	14-	8	6	1	++	0.92		5.27
									0.00	-3.16

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	A	Ashland	13-	2	5.80
4/05	H	Westwood	14-	0	2.15
4/07	H	Wellesley	13-	2	-1.00
4/10	A	Holliston	14-	4	0.11
4/13	H	Bellingham	21-	4	7.63
4/24	H	Medway	20-	3	-2.06
5/01	H	Dover-Sherborn	13-	3	0.00
5/04	H	Ashland	18-	0	1.11
5/08	A	Westwood	17-	2	-1.16
5/15	A	Bellingham	17-	1	6.32
5/17	A	Medway	16-	4	0.62
5/19	H	Beverly	17-	6	-1.00
5/22	H	Hopkinton	19-	6	-3.00
6/01	H	Sandwich	19-	5	-3.59
6/05	H	Hingham	12-	2	0.00
6/12	H	Concord Carlisle	18-	6	-2.00
10-goal correction: 0.40

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	98.		Natl CCR Rank	60
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	97.50		Natl Power Rank	54
Natl SOS Rating	85.22		Natl SOS Rank	381
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	87
W-L Pct Rating	0.92		W-L Pct Rank	56
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	23-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	9.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	5.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	6.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	8.7


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