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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Mercersburg Academy Blue Storm (2-12)

Region: PA Indep

State: PA

Coach: Lee Harter

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/24	EPISCOPAL HS (5-12)	DC IAC	88.1		L	5-	6	ot	-0.200
3/28	at St James (17-2)	DC MAC	89.6		L	4-	13		-0.100
3/31	at Lawrenceville (17-1)	NJ Private	98.5		L	5-	15		0.000
4/14	HILL SCHOOL (7-7)	PA Indep	92.2		L	5-	13		-0.075
4/18	CARLISLE (13-5)	PA Mid 1	87.8		L	2-	5		-0.225
4/21	PEDDIE SCHOOL (7-10)	NJ Private	90.7		L	1-	6		-0.125
4/25	CHAMBERSBURG (9-8)	PA Mid 1	81.7		W	9-	2		0.125
4/28	HUN SCHOOL (14-6)	NJ Private	93.0		L	4-	14		-0.075
5/03	HIGHLAND SCHOOL (18-4)	VA 2 Delaney	92.2		L	2-	4		-0.075
5/06	at Wyoming Seminary (6-6)	PA Indep	88.0		L	5-	7		-0.175
5/09	at Cumberland Valley (15-4)	PA Mid 1	89.6		L	6-	10		-0.100
5/12	at Blair Academy (6-10)	NJ Private	85.2		L	5-	12		-0.225
5/16	at St Johns Catholic Prep (5-11)	MD B MIAA	80.7		L	3-	4	ot	-0.325
5/19	at State College (9-7)	PA CSNLL	77.3		W	9-	2		0.100
			86.7						-1.48

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	H	Episcopal HS	5-	6	-1	-2		-1.31		0.94
3/28	A	St James	4-	13	-9	-6	–	1.39		-2.88
3/31	A	Lawrenceville	5-	15	-10	-15	++	1.16		4.83
4/14	H	Hill School	5-	13	-8	-7		-1.29	-0.96
4/18	H	Carlisle	2-	5	-3	-1		-1.42		-1.50
4/21	H	Peddie School	1-	6	-5	-5		-1.16		-0.34
4/25	H	Chambersburg	9-	2	7	5	+	-1.42		2.45
4/28	H	Hun School	4-	14	-10	-7	–	-1.16		-2.95
5/03	H	Highland School	2-	4	-2	-7	++	-0.83		4.59
5/06	A	Wyoming Seminary	5-	7	-2	-3		1.29	0.96
5/09	A	Cumberland Valley	6-	10	-4	-6	+	1.42		2.19
5/12	A	Blair Academy	5-	12	-7	-1	––	1.16		-5.50
5/16	A	St Johns Catholic Prep	3-	4	-1	3	–	1.36		-3.76
5/19	A	State College	9-	2	7	6		1.42		0.90
									0.00	-1.02

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	A	Lawrenceville	5-	15	-4.83
4/28	H	Hun School	4-	14	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.35

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1054
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.83		Natl Power Rank	1054
Natl SOS Rating	82.92		Natl SOS Rank	572
Natl Quality Win Rating	-1.48		Natl Quality Win Rank	2743
W-L Pct Rating	0.14		W-L Pct Rank	2369
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.3

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