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Mercer Island Islanders (19-5)

Region: WA 1 Div-1State: WACoach: Ian O'Hearn

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/09OVERLAKE (10-6)WA 2 Evergrn73.4W16- 3 0.000  
3/13at Eastside (1-13)WA 1 Div-178.5W19- 2 0.000  
3/16BAINBRIDGE ISLAND (18-1)WA 1 Div-196.11L10-15 -0.225  
3/20at Lynnwood (3-12)WA 1 Div-181.6W13- 0 0.000  
3/23at Seattle Prep (4-10)WA 1 Div-182.4W16-10 0.000  
3/27CURTIS (9-8)WA 1 Div-186.19W19- 3 0.000  
3/28LAKESIDE (2-12)WA 1 Div-179.5W19- 2 0.000  
3/30at Bellevue (14-6)WA 1 Div-190.63W11- 9 0.175  
4/06LAKELAND/PANAS (19-2)NY A Sec 197.3L11-13 -0.175  
4/07LAKERIDGE (20-2)OR Rivers95.7W12-11 0.275  
4/12vs. Torrey Pines # (21-4)CA North95.9L7- 9 -0.200  
4/13at Saint Ignatius Prep (18-0)CA CentCo98.6L6-16 -0.100  
4/14vs. La Costa Canyon # (15-8)CA North92.5W11-10 0.225  
4/18at Garfield (12-6)WA 1 Div-189.84W10- 2 0.150  
4/20VASHON ISLAND (9-6)WA 1 Div-188.56W13- 3 0.075  
4/26at Eastlake (6-8)WA 1 Div-185.310W19- 5 0.025  
4/27ISSAQUAH (12-7)WA 1 Div-189.25W17- 7 0.100  
4/30PUYALLUP (14-5)WA 2 Olympic82.9W18- 8 0.000  
5/01at Maple Valley (8-8)WA 1 Div-186.57W16- 7 0.100  
5/02ROOSEVELT (1-13)WA 1 Div-179.0W19- 3 0.000  
5/08SKYLINE (8-8)WA 1 Div-186.48W14- 9 0.025  
5/12MAPLE VALLEY (8-8)WA 1 Div-186.57W13- 6 0.050  
5/16BELLEVUE (14-6)WA 1 Div-190.63W10- 8 0.150  
5/19vs. Bainbridge Island # (18-1)WA 1 Div-196.11L7- 9 -0.225  
# Neutral site 87.6     0.42  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/09HOverlake16-313   21       –––-0.97       -8.16
3/13AEastside19-217   17       0.78       -0.43
3/16HBainbridge Island10-15-5   -1       ––-0.78       -4.30
3/20ALynnwood13-013   13       0.78       -0.29
3/23ASeattle Prep16-106   13       –––0.78       -6.83
3/27HCurtis19-316   11       ++-0.78       4.60
3/28HLakeside19-217   17       -0.78       -0.12
3/30ABellevue11-92   3       0.78       -0.83
4/06HLakeland/Panas11-13-2   -3       -0.98       0.72
4/07HLakeridge12-111   -1       +-0.90       2.13
4/12NTorrey Pines7-9-2   -2       0.00       0.33
4/13ASaint Ignatius Prep6-16-10   -6       ––0.58       -4.49
4/14NLa Costa Canyon11-101   1       0.00       -0.14
4/18AGarfield10-28   4       +0.78       3.78
4/20HVashon Island13-310   7       +-0.78       2.91
4/26AEastlake19-514   9       ++0.78       4.73
4/27HIssaquah17-710   6       +-0.78       3.86
4/30HPuyallup18-810   12       -0.97       -1.67
5/01AMaple Valley16-79   6       +0.78       2.61
5/02HRoosevelt19-316   18       -0.78       -1.83
5/08HSkyline14-95   9       -0.78       -3.99
5/12HMaple Valley13-67   8       -0.78       -0.95
5/16HBellevue10-82   4       -0.78       -2.40
5/19NBainbridge Island7-9-2   -1       0.00       -0.52
         0.00-11.26

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/09HOverlake16-38.16
3/13AEastside19-20.43
3/20ALynnwood13-00.29
3/27HCurtis19-3-4.60
3/28HLakeside19-20.12
4/13ASaint Ignatius Prep6-160.00
4/20HVashon Island13-30.00
4/26AEastlake19-5-4.00
4/27HIssaquah17-70.00
4/30HPuyallup18-81.67
5/02HRoosevelt19-31.83
10-goal correction: 0.16

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 94.   Natl CCR Rank 248
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 93.62   Natl Power Rank 248
Natl SOS Rating 84.99   Natl SOS Rank 401
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.42   Natl Quality Win Rank 705
W-L Pct Rating 0.79   W-L Pct Rank 277
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 19-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 4-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 2.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 10-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 6.3
Wins/Losses (top 20) 15-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 8.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.3



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