| Region: MD 32 South | State: MD | Coach: Mike McCarthy |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/27 | at River Hill (12-4) | MD 32 South | 89.6 | | W | 17- | 7 | | 0.175 |
3/30 | at Atholton (7-6) | MD 32 South | 84.6 | | W | 15- | 10 | | 0.100 |
3/31 | MOUNT ST JOSEPH (9-6) | MD A MIAA | 95.5 | | L | 8- | 12 | | -0.150 |
4/03 | CHAPEL HILL (22-4) | NC 4A | 95.2 | | L | 10- | 11 | ot | -0.150 |
4/07 | at Broadneck (12-4) | MD 43 East | 92.2 | 9 | L | 6- | 11 | | -0.225 |
4/07 | vs. Madison # (11-6) | VA Liberty | 91.9 | | L | 9- | 10 | | -0.225 |
4/10 | at Wilde Lake (6-10) | MD 32 South | 82.1 | | W | 8- | 0 | | 0.050 |
4/13 | at Centennial (14-4) | MD 32 South | 91.4 | | L | 7- | 8 | ot | -0.250 |
4/17 | OAKLAND MILLS (1-13) | MD 21 North | 69.5 | | W | 18- | 5 | | 0.000 |
4/20 | LONG REACH (1-12) | MD 32 South | 72.5 | | W | 21- | 6 | | 0.000 |
4/24 | HOWARD (9-6) | MD 32 South | 86.9 | | W | 15- | 11 | | 0.100 |
4/26 | HAMMOND (7-7) | MD 32 South | 82.6 | | W | 15- | 4 | | 0.000 |
5/01 | at Marriott's Ridge (6-12) | MD 21 North | 80.2 | | W | 18- | 5 | | 0.000 |
5/04 | RESERVOIR (2-11) | MD 32 South | 77.6 | | W | 16- | 7 | | 0.000 |
5/08 | CENTENNIAL (14-4) | MD 32 South | 91.4 | | W | 9- | 8 | 2ot | 0.225 |
5/10 | HOWARD (9-6) | MD 32 South | 86.9 | | W | 15- | 3 | | 0.100 |
5/12 | ATHOLTON (7-6) | MD 32 South | 84.6 | | W | 14- | 5 | | 0.050 |
5/14 | at Centennial (14-4) | MD 32 South | 91.4 | | L | 5- | 6 | ot | -0.250 |
| # Neutral site | | 85.4 | | | | | | -0.45 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/27 | A | River Hill | 17- | 7 | 10 | 3 | +++ | 0.72 | 7.29 | |
3/30 | A | Atholton | 15- | 10 | 5 | 6 | | 0.72 | -1.26 | |
3/31 | H | Mount St Joseph | 8- | 12 | -4 | -4 | | -1.03 | | -0.31 |
4/03 | H | Chapel Hill | 10- | 11 | -1 | -4 | + | -0.73 | | 2.74 |
4/07 | A | Broadneck | 6- | 11 | -5 | -1 | –– | 0.72 | -4.04 | |
4/07 | N | Madison | 9- | 10 | -1 | -1 | | 0.00 | | 0.16 |
4/10 | A | Wilde Lake | 8- | 0 | 8 | 8 | | 0.72 | 0.20 | |
4/13 | A | Centennial | 7- | 8 | -1 | 0 | | 0.72 | -0.84 | |
4/17 | H | Oakland Mills | 18- | 5 | 13 | 20 | ––– | -0.72 | -6.71 | |
4/20 | H | Long Reach | 21- | 6 | 15 | 17 | – | -0.72 | -2.34 | |
4/24 | H | Howard | 15- | 11 | 4 | 6 | | -0.72 | -1.51 | |
4/26 | H | Hammond | 15- | 4 | 11 | 10 | | -0.72 | 1.35 | |
5/01 | A | Marriott's Ridge | 18- | 5 | 13 | 10 | + | 0.72 | 3.42 | |
5/04 | H | Reservoir | 16- | 7 | 9 | 11 | – | -0.72 | -2.21 | |
5/08 | H | Centennial | 9- | 8 | 1 | 1 | | -0.72 | -0.29 | |
5/10 | H | Howard | 15- | 3 | 12 | 6 | +++ | -0.72 | 6.49 | |
5/12 | H | Atholton | 14- | 5 | 9 | 8 | | -0.72 | 1.29 | |
5/14 | A | Centennial | 5- | 6 | -1 | 0 | | 0.72 | -0.84 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 2.60 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/27 | A | River Hill | 17- | 7 | 0.00 |
4/17 | H | Oakland Mills | 18- | 5 | 6.71 |
4/20 | H | Long Reach | 21- | 6 | 2.34 |
4/26 | H | Hammond | 15- | 4 | -1.35 |
5/01 | A | Marriott's Ridge | 18- | 5 | -3.42 |
5/10 | H | Howard | 15- | 3 | -2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.13 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 92. | | Natl CCR Rank | 459 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 90.78 | | Natl Power Rank | 459 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 80.25 | | Natl SOS Rank | 854 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.45 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2185 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.67 | | W-L Pct Rank | 657 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 12-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 5.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -5.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -1.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 6.7 |
|
