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Middlesex Zebras (11-4)

Region: NE ISL

State: MA

Coach: Ned Herter

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/07	at St Mark's (4-11)	NE ISL	88.2		W	10-	2		0.075
4/11	ST PAUL'S (5-11)	NE ISL	89.7		W	8-	6		0.100
4/14	at Noble & Greenough (12-4)	NE ISL	95.7	7	W	9-	8	ot	0.275
4/18	vs. Milton Academy # (7-8)	NE ISL	92.1		W	6-	3		0.150
4/21	at Thayer Academy (11-6)	NE ISL	94.2		W	7-	5		0.200
4/23	THE GOVERNOR'S ACADEMY (15-2)	NE ISL	98.2	1	L	6-	10		-0.200
4/25	at Lawrence Academy (7-10)	NE ISL	89.8		W	11-	3		0.125
4/28	RIVERS (10-6)	NE ISL	94.2		W	11-	7		0.150
5/02	ST SEBASTIAN (11-6)	NE ISL	94.7		L	4-	8		-0.350
5/05	at Groton School (1-14)	NE ISL	83.7		W	13-	0		0.000
5/09	at Roxbury Latin (0-15)	NE ISL	82.9		W	13-	1		0.000
5/12	BUCKINGHAM, B&N (3-14)	NE ISL	85.3		W	14-	2		0.000
5/21	at Belmont Hill (15-1)	NE ISL	97.4	3	L	7-	8		-0.200
5/24	at Brooks School (10-7)	NE ISL	94.0		L	7-	8		-0.275
5/26	at St George's (9-10)	NE ISL	91.4		W	14-	4		0.150
# Neutral site			90.1						0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	A	St Mark's	10-	2	8	7		1.45	1.31
4/11	H	St Paul's	8-	6	2	6	––	-1.45	-4.10
4/14	A	Noble & Greenough	9-	8	1	-1		1.45	1.54
4/18	N	Milton Academy	6-	3	3	4		0.00	-0.56
4/21	A	Thayer Academy	7-	5	2	2		1.45	0.21
4/23	H	The Governor's Academy	6-	10	-4	-2	–	-1.45	-2.14
4/25	A	Lawrence Academy	11-	3	8	5	+	1.45	2.56
4/28	H	Rivers	11-	7	4	4		-1.45	0.39
5/02	H	St Sebastian	4-	8	-4	4	–––	-1.45	-7.72
5/05	A	Groton School	13-	0	13	11	+	1.45	2.05
5/09	A	Roxbury Latin	13-	1	12	11		1.45	0.55
5/12	H	Buckingham, B&N	14-	2	12	11		-1.45	0.88
5/21	A	Belmont Hill	7-	8	-1	-2		1.45	0.68
5/24	A	Brooks School	7-	8	-1	1		1.45	-1.69
5/26	A	St George's	14-	4	10	4	+++	1.45	6.05
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/05	A	Groton School	13-	0	-2.05
5/09	A	Roxbury Latin	13-	1	-0.55
5/12	H	Buckingham, B&N	14-	2	-0.88
5/26	A	St George's	14-	4	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.23

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	96.		Natl CCR Rank	132
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	95.88		Natl Power Rank	132
Natl SOS Rating	89.73		Natl SOS Rank	158
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	958
W-L Pct Rating	0.73		W-L Pct Rank	474
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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