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Middle Country Wolverines (4-13)

Conference: Div I

Region: NY A Sec 11

State: NY

Coach: Ken Budd

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/21	WILLIAM FLOYD (10-9)	NY A Sec 11	91.1		L	8-	9		-0.225
3/28	at Connetquot (6-10)	NY A Sec 11	87.2		W	7-	6		0.275
3/31	HAUPPAUGE (8-9)	NY B Sec 11	91.5		L	6-	7		-0.175
4/04	at Rocky Point (12-6)	NY B Sec 11	95.7		L	5-	16		-0.050
4/10	SACHEM EAST (10-8)	NY A Sec 11	94.5		L	5-	11		-0.125
4/12	WALT WHITMAN (4-13)	NY A Sec 11	85.5		W	9-	7		0.150
4/16	at Ward Melville (15-5)	NY A Sec 11	97.7	5	L	1-	16		0.000
4/18	at Longwood (9-7)	NY A Sec 11	89.7		L	4-	9		-0.200
4/20	SMITHTOWN EAST (16-4)	NY A Sec 11	97.7	6	L	3-	13		0.000
4/26	at West Islip (22-1)	NY A Sec 11	99.8	1	L	2-	15		0.000
5/02	at East Islip (8-9)	NY A Sec 11	90.1		L	6-	10		-0.175
5/04	SMITHTOWN WEST (15-4)	NY A Sec 11	97.8	4	L	8-	18		0.000
5/08	PATCHOGUE-MEDFORD (10-8)	NY A Sec 11	92.2		L	6-	11		-0.175
5/10	COMMACK (7-10)	NY A Sec 11	90.2		W	7-	6		0.300
5/14	COPIAGUE (3-14)	NY A Sec 11	84.7		W	12-	6		0.075
5/16	at Northport (8-10)	NY A Sec 11	91.9		L	9-	10	ot	-0.175
5/18	at Bellport (10-8)	NY A Sec 11	88.5		L	6-	9		-0.225
			87.5						-0.73

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	H	William Floyd	8-	9	-1	-1		-0.83	0.10
3/28	A	Connetquot	7-	6	1	-1	+	0.83	2.43
3/31	H	Hauppauge	6-	7	-1	-3		-0.83	1.77
4/04	A	Rocky Point	5-	16	-11	-8	–	0.83	-3.20
4/10	H	Sachem East	5-	11	-6	-5		-0.83	-0.64
4/12	H	Walt Whitman	9-	7	2	4		-0.83	-1.98
4/16	A	Ward Melville	1-	16	-15	-13		0.83	-1.61
4/18	A	Longwood	4-	9	-5	-2	–	0.83	-2.98
4/20	H	Smithtown East	3-	13	-10	-11		-0.83	1.22
4/26	A	West Islip	2-	15	-13	-18	++	0.83	4.59
5/02	A	East Islip	6-	10	-4	-3		0.83	-0.94
5/04	H	Smithtown West	8-	18	-10	-11		-0.83	1.44
5/08	H	Patchogue-Medford	6-	11	-5	-3	–	-0.83	-2.43
5/10	H	Commack	7-	6	1	-2	+	-0.83	2.61
5/14	H	Copiague	12-	6	6	7		-0.83	-0.52
5/16	A	Northport	9-	10	-1	-3	+	0.83	2.49
5/18	A	Bellport	6-	9	-3	-1	–	0.83	-2.34
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/04	A	Rocky Point	5-	16	1.00
4/16	A	Ward Melville	1-	16	1.61
4/20	H	Smithtown East	3-	13	-1.22
4/26	A	West Islip	2-	15	-4.59
5/04	H	Smithtown West	8-	18	-1.44
10-goal correction: -0.27

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	920
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.70		Natl Power Rank	920
Natl SOS Rating	84.75		Natl SOS Rank	419
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.73		Natl Quality Win Rank	2439
W-L Pct Rating	0.24		W-L Pct Rank	2151
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.7


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