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Middlebury Union Tigers (9-8 - 1)

Region: VT 1 NVAC

State: VT

Coach: Jono Chapin

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/14	at Vermont Academy (2-12)	NE North	81.9		W	14-	12		0.100
4/18	RUTLAND (6-9)	VT 1 MVLI	82.9	9	W	15-	1		0.050
4/20	at Spaulding (6-8)	VT 1 NVAC	80.9	10	W	16-	4		0.025
4/25	at South Burlington (7-6)	VT 1 NVAC	89.0	5	W	10-	4		0.275
4/27	at Bellows Free Academy (7-5)	VT 1 NVAC	89.2	4	W	10-	5		0.275
5/02	CHAMPLAIN VALLEY (9-5)	VT 1 NVAC	91.2	3	L	5-	10		-0.225
5/05	MT ANTHONY UNION (10-6)	VT 1 MVLI	87.7	7	W	13-	6		0.175
5/07	at Essex Junction (13-5)	VT 1 NVAC	93.2	1	W	9-	8	ot	0.300
5/11	MT MANSFIELD UNION (4-12)	VT 1 NVAC	84.2	8	T	6-	6	ot	0.000
5/12	SOUTH BURLINGTON (7-6)	VT 1 NVAC	89.0	5	L	12-	13		-0.275
5/14	at Hanover (19-1)	NH 1	95.4		L	8-	19		-0.050
5/16	BELLOWS FREE ACADEMY (7-5)	VT 1 NVAC	89.2	4	L	4-	12		-0.275
5/17	WOODSTOCK (12-3)	VT 1 MVLI	92.0	2	L	9-	12		-0.250
5/19	at Champlain Valley (9-5)	VT 1 NVAC	91.2	3	W	7-	6		0.300
5/21	at Woodstock (12-3)	VT 1 MVLI	92.0	2	L	8-	16		-0.200
5/23	ESSEX JUNCTION (13-5)	VT 1 NVAC	93.2	1	L	9-	15		-0.225
5/26	at Mt Mansfield Union (4-12)	VT 1 NVAC	84.2	8	W	19-	6		0.175
5/30	MT MANSFIELD UNION (4-12)	VT 1 NVAC	84.2	8	L	6-	11		-0.350
			90.0						-0.17

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/14	A	Vermont Academy	14-	12	2	6	–	1.07		-3.50
4/18	H	Rutland	15-	1	14	8	+++	-0.69	6.41
4/20	A	Spaulding	16-	4	12	9	+	0.69	2.52
4/25	A	South Burlington	10-	4	6	-1	+++	0.69	6.73
4/27	A	Bellows Free Academy	10-	5	5	-1	++	0.69	5.84
5/02	H	Champlain Valley	5-	10	-5	-1	––	-0.69	-4.47
5/05	H	Mt Anthony Union	13-	6	7	3	++	-0.69	4.05
5/07	A	Essex Junction	9-	8	1	-2	+	0.69	3.25
5/11	H	Mt Mansfield Union	6-	6	0	4	––	-0.69	-4.13
5/12	H	South Burlington	12-	13	-1	1		-0.69	-1.66
5/14	A	Hanover	8-	19	-11	-8	–	0.67		-3.31
5/16	H	Bellows Free Academy	4-	12	-8	1	–––	-0.69	-8.54
5/17	H	Woodstock	9-	12	-3	0	–	-0.69	-2.64
5/19	A	Champlain Valley	7-	6	1	-2	+	0.69	2.91
5/21	A	Woodstock	8-	16	-8	-2	–––	0.69	-6.26
5/23	H	Essex Junction	9-	15	-6	-1	––	-0.69	-5.13
5/26	A	Mt Mansfield Union	19-	6	13	3	+++	0.69	10.25
5/30	H	Mt Mansfield Union	6-	11	-5	4	–––	-0.69	-9.13
									0.00	-6.81

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/18	H	Rutland	15-	1	-4.00
4/20	A	Spaulding	16-	4	-2.00
5/14	A	Hanover	8-	19	1.00
5/26	A	Mt Mansfield Union	19-	6	-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.44

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	90.		Natl CCR Rank	644
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.43		Natl Power Rank	644
Natl SOS Rating	89.82		Natl SOS Rank	152
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.17		Natl Quality Win Rank	1716
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	1189
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	4-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-1.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	8-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.7


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