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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Millbrook Mustangs (10-5)

Region: NE 2 West

State: NY

Coach: Rich Little

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
4/07	at Hopkins School (12-2)	NE 2 FAA	88.5	3	W	8-	7		0.325
4/11	KENT SCHOOL (4-12)	NE 1 West	86.2		W	17-	9		0.175
4/14	CHESHIRE ACADEMY (4-9)	NE 2 West	78.0		W	14-	1		0.000
4/18	at Trinity-Pawling (9-8)	NE 1 West	91.4		L	4-	13		-0.100
4/21	CANTERBURY (1-14)	NE 1 West	82.2		W	6-	3		0.075
4/25	at Brunswick School (7-7)	NE 1 West	92.8		L	6-	13		-0.075
4/28	HYDE-WOODSTOCK (10-4)	NE SEast-1	87.0		W	14-	4		0.200
5/05	SUFFIELD ACADEMY (6-7)	NE 2 West	82.1	7	W	15-	1		0.000
5/09	at Albany Academy (2-10)	NE 1 West	80.8		W	12-	6		0.125
5/12	at South Kent (6-8)	NE 2 West	75.8		W	16-	3		0.000
5/14	at Gunnery (6-11)	NE 2 West	81.4	10	W	14-	6		0.150
5/16	BERKSHIRE SCHOOL (11-3)	NE 2 West	91.2	1	L	6-	8		-0.225
5/19	RYE COUNTRY DAY (5-8)	NE 2 FAA	81.6	9	W	11-	8		0.050
5/23	at Williston Northampton (9-4)	NE 2 West	89.7	2	L	4-	14		-0.175
5/25	SALISBURY SCHOOL (11-5)	NE 1 West	95.9		L	6-	17		-0.075
			84.6						0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	A	Hopkins School	8-	7	1	-3	+	2.23	3.67
4/11	H	Kent School	17-	9	8	3	++	-1.69		5.06
4/14	H	Cheshire Academy	14-	1	13	12		-2.23	0.54
4/18	A	Trinity-Pawling	4-	13	-9	-6	–	1.69		-3.40
4/21	H	Canterbury	6-	3	3	7	––	-1.69		-4.01
4/25	A	Brunswick School	6-	13	-7	-7		1.69		0.02
4/28	H	Hyde-Woodstock	14-	4	10	2	+++	-1.84		7.70
5/05	H	Suffield Academy	15-	1	14	10	+	-2.23	3.72
5/09	A	Albany Academy	12-	6	6	5		1.69		1.01
5/12	A	South Kent	16-	3	13	11		2.23	1.94
5/14	A	Gunnery	14-	6	8	4	++	2.23	4.14
5/16	H	Berkshire School	6-	8	-2	-1		-2.23	-1.27
5/19	H	Rye Country Day	11-	8	3	8	––	-2.23	-5.41
5/23	A	Williston Northampton	4-	14	-10	-3	–––	2.23	-7.34
5/25	H	Salisbury School	6-	17	-11	-7	––	-1.69		-4.25
									0.00	2.13

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/14	H	Cheshire Academy	14-	1	-0.54
4/28	H	Hyde-Woodstock	14-	4	0.00
5/05	H	Suffield Academy	15-	1	-3.72
5/12	A	South Kent	16-	3	-1.94
5/23	A	Williston Northampton	4-	14	0.00
5/25	H	Salisbury School	6-	17	1.00
10-goal correction: -0.35

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	909
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.48		Natl Power Rank	909
Natl SOS Rating	79.35		Natl SOS Rank	961
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	537
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	670
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	2.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	5.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.0

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