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Minnechaug Falcons (12-7)

Conference: WestMassRegion: MA 2State: MACoach: Russ Mooney

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/03at Agawam (1-17)MA 285.8W14- 1 0.000  
4/05CATHEDRAL SPRINGFIELD (3-15)MA 287.410W14- 4 0.000  
4/10at East Longmeadow (6-12)MA 289.29W11- 3 0.050  
4/14at Algonquin (13-9)MA 289.1W11- 1 0.150  
4/17WEST SPRINGFIELD (7-11)MA 290.28W17- 7 0.025  
4/18AVON OLD FARMS (12-3)NE 1 West97.0L5-16 -0.200  
4/24SOUTH HADLEY (16-5)MA 295.72L4- 5 -0.275  
4/30at Northfield Mt Hermon (11-8)NE 1 West93.4L9-16 -0.250  
5/02NORTHAMPTON (11-9)MA 290.96W14- 8 0.075  
5/03AMHERST-PELHAM (12-8)MA 291.64W14-11 0.125  
5/08LONGMEADOW (17-6)MA 295.81L7- 8 -0.225  
5/10WESTFIELD (13-9)MA 291.65W10- 4 0.150  
5/15at South Hadley (16-5)MA 295.72W8- 4 0.275  
5/19ST JOHNS SHREWSBURY (18-3)MA 292.0L10-11ot-0.325  
5/22at Amherst-Pelham (12-8)MA 291.64W6- 5 0.175  
5/25at Longmeadow (17-6)MA 295.81L6- 8 -0.175  
5/29at Westfield (13-9)MA 291.65W16- 7 0.175  
6/06ST JOSEPH CENTRAL (11-8)MA 290.57W12- 7 0.025  
6/08at South Hadley (16-5)MA 295.72L11-12 -0.225  
 89.7     -0.45  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/03AAgawam14-113   14       0.68       -0.58
4/05HCathedral Springfield14-410   13       -0.68       -2.71
4/10AEast Longmeadow11-38   8       0.68       0.07
4/14AAlgonquin11-110   4       ++0.50       5.54
4/17HWest Springfield17-710   9       -0.68       0.72
4/18HAvon Old Farms5-16-11   -2       –––-0.91       -8.94
4/24HSouth Hadley4-5-1   1       -0.68       -1.59
4/30ANorthfield Mt Hermon9-16-7   0       –––0.91       -6.71
5/02HNorthampton14-86   7       -0.68       -1.12
5/03HAmherst-Pelham14-113   5       -0.68       -1.68
5/08HLongmeadow7-8-1   -1       -0.68       0.16
5/10HWestfield10-46   4       -0.68       1.66
5/15ASouth Hadley8-44   -1       ++0.68       4.77
5/19HSt Johns Shrewsbury10-11-1   3       -0.50       -3.52
5/22AAmherst-Pelham6-51   3       0.68       -2.33
5/25ALongmeadow6-8-2   -3       0.68       0.51
5/29AWestfield16-79   3       +++0.68       6.02
6/06HSt Joseph Central12-75   9       -0.68       -3.67
6/08ASouth Hadley11-12-1   -1       0.68       -0.23
         0.00-13.63

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/03AAgawam14-10.58
4/05HCathedral Springfield14-42.71
4/14AAlgonquin11-10.00
4/17HWest Springfield17-70.00
4/18HAvon Old Farms5-161.00
10-goal correction: 0.23

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 95.   Natl CCR Rank 199
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 94.02   Natl Power Rank 199
Natl SOS Rating 88.58   Natl SOS Rank 200
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.45   Natl Quality Win Rank 2164
W-L Pct Rating 0.63   W-L Pct Rank 789
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 12-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 3.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 5-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 10-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 4.1
Wins/Losses (top 20) 11-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 4.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 4.3



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