| Region: MN MSHSL-C | State: MN | Coach: Travis Wells |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
4/16 | PRIOR LAKE (10-4) | MN MSHSL-L | 89.9 | | W | 12- | 7 | | 0.125 |
4/20 | EASTVIEW (10-7) | MN MSHSL-L | 90.4 | 10 | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.175 |
4/21 | WAYZATA (9-5) | MN MSHSL-C | 90.4 | 8 | W | 11- | 8 | | 0.175 |
4/26 | at Hopkins (3-11) | MN MSHSL-C | 85.0 | | W | 13- | 5 | | 0.050 |
4/27 | ARMSTRONG (8-6) | MN MSHSL-C | 89.3 | | W | 13- | 9 | | 0.125 |
4/28 | at Lakeville (6-8) | MN MSHSL-L | 87.4 | | W | 13- | 5 | | 0.150 |
5/01 | at Blake (13-2) | MN MSHSL-C | 93.3 | 3 | L | 12- | 16 | | -0.175 |
5/03 | SHATTUCK-ST MARY'S (0-11) | MN MSHSL-C | 78.5 | | W | 19- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/05 | at Edina (9-5) | MN MSHSL-C | 91.0 | 7 | W | 10- | 7 | | 0.275 |
5/07 | BLOOM JEFFERSON (8-6) | MN MSHSL-L | 90.3 | | L | 7- | 10 | | -0.325 |
5/10 | at Academy Holy Angels (6-8) | MN MSHSL-C | 89.0 | | L | 12- | 14 | | -0.300 |
5/16 | CHASKA (2-11) | MN MSHSL-L | 84.9 | | W | 13- | 6 | | 0.025 |
5/17 | WAYZATA (9-5) | MN MSHSL-C | 90.4 | 8 | W | 13- | 8 | | 0.175 |
5/18 | vs. Eden Prairie # (15-2) | MN MSHSL-L | 93.5 | 2 | L | 8- | 10 | | -0.200 |
| # Neutral site | | 87.9 | | | | | | 0.28 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/16 | H | Prior Lake | 12- | 7 | 5 | 5 | | -1.24 | 0.30 | |
4/20 | H | Eastview | 12- | 6 | 6 | 3 | + | -1.24 | 3.24 | |
4/21 | H | Wayzata | 11- | 8 | 3 | 3 | | -1.24 | -0.12 | |
4/26 | A | Hopkins | 13- | 5 | 8 | 8 | | 1.24 | 0.30 | |
4/27 | H | Armstrong | 13- | 9 | 4 | 5 | | -1.24 | -0.72 | |
4/28 | A | Lakeville | 13- | 5 | 8 | 4 | ++ | 1.24 | 4.30 | |
5/01 | A | Blake | 12- | 16 | -4 | -3 | | 1.24 | -1.26 | |
5/03 | H | Shattuck-St Mary's | 19- | 1 | 18 | 17 | | -1.24 | 0.70 | |
5/05 | A | Edina | 10- | 7 | 3 | -1 | + | 1.24 | 3.79 | |
5/07 | H | Bloom Jefferson | 7- | 10 | -3 | 3 | ––– | -1.24 | -6.16 | |
5/10 | A | Academy Holy Angels | 12- | 14 | -2 | 2 | – | 1.24 | -3.89 | |
5/16 | H | Chaska | 13- | 6 | 7 | 9 | – | -1.24 | -2.26 | |
5/17 | H | Wayzata | 13- | 8 | 5 | 3 | | -1.24 | 1.88 | |
5/18 | N | Eden Prairie | 8- | 10 | -2 | -2 | | 0.00 | -0.10 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
5/03 | H | Shattuck-St Mary's | 19- | 1 | -0.70 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.05 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 92. | | Natl CCR Rank | 416 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 91.84 | | Natl Power Rank | 416 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 85.15 | | Natl SOS Rank | 389 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.28 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 824 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.71 | | W-L Pct Rank | 520 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 4-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 1.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 6-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 1.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 3.3 |
| 
