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Monticello Mustangs (5-10)

Region: VA JeffsnState: VACoach: Jason Hard

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/15ALBEMARLE (14-7)VA Comw89.4L8-14 -0.025  
3/20at Covenant (12-7)VA 2 VIC88.9L7-14 0.000  
3/24PATRICK HENRY (9-6)VA WesVal83.9L6-14 -0.175  
3/26at Rockbridge County (8-7)VA Valley79.57W13-12ot0.300  
3/29WESTERN ALBEMARLE (13-5)VA Jeffsn88.21L7-14 -0.075  
4/02LIBERTY-BEALETON (3-11)VA NoWest75.2W14- 8 0.050  
4/14at Broad Run (15-2)VA Dulles85.32L8-14 -0.025  
4/17at Woodberry Forest (11-6)VA 1 VIP88.9L0-11 0.000  
4/21SALEM (11-5)VA Indep83.94L6-12 -0.175  
4/27CHARLOTTESVILLE (1-10)VA Jeffsn75.7W13-12ot0.075  
5/02at Charlottesville (1-10)VA Jeffsn75.7W15- 7 0.175  
5/08at Tandem Friends (8-4)VA 2 VIC85.7L6- 7 -0.050  
5/10ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY (8-7)VA Valley79.57L2- 8 -0.300  
5/12at Brentsville (6-7)VA NoWest77.8W10- 7 0.250  
5/16at Western Albemarle (13-5)VA Jeffsn88.21L5-12 0.000  
 82.9     0.02  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/15HAlbemarle8-14-6   -9       +-1.81       2.72
3/20ACovenant7-14-7   -11       ++1.14       4.15
3/24HPatrick Henry6-14-8   -3       ––-1.81       -4.80
3/26ARockbridge County13-121   -2       +1.92       3.25
3/29HWestern Albemarle7-14-7   -7       -1.92       -0.25
4/02HLiberty-Bealeton14-86   8       -1.92       -1.64
4/14ABroad Run8-14-6   -9       +1.92       2.75
4/17AWoodberry Forest0-11-11   -11       1.22       0.19
4/21HSalem6-12-6   -3       –-1.92       -2.59
4/27HCharlottesville13-121   7       ––-1.92       -5.82
5/02ACharlottesville15-78   3       ++1.92       5.03
5/08ATandem Friends6-7-1   -8       +++1.14       6.89
5/10HRockbridge County2-8-6   2       –––-1.92       -7.60
5/12ABrentsville10-73   0       +1.92       3.29
5/16AWestern Albemarle5-12-7   -11       +1.92       3.59
         0.009.16

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/17AWoodberry Forest0-11-0.19
10-goal correction: -0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 80.   Natl CCR Rank 1808
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 78.91   Natl Power Rank 1808
Natl SOS Rating 75.69   Natl SOS Rank 1321
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.02   Natl Quality Win Rank 1396
W-L Pct Rating 0.33   W-L Pct Rank 1908
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 5-10   Ave Goal diff (all ) -3.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -6.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -5.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 5-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -1.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -3.3



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