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Morgantown Mohigans (7-8)

Region: PA 2DSOUTH

State: WV

Coach: Jim Lenke

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/21	SHALER AREA (7-9)	PA 2DNORTH	78.9		L	7-	8		-0.300
3/27	CANON-MCMILLAN (6-7)	PA 2DSOUTH	82.1		L	5-	6		-0.225
4/13	at Quaker Valley (6-7)	PA 2DSOUTH	81.8		W	3-	2		0.350
4/14	WHEELING CENT CATH (8-6)	PA Indep	73.9		W	14-	4		0.075
4/16	FAIRMONT (4-13)	PA 2DSOUTH	70.8		W	13-	1		0.025
4/18	at Wheeling Park (0-7)	PA Indep	62.6		W	16-	0		0.000
4/20	CHARTIERS VALLEY (4-11)	PA 2DSOUTH	77.9		W	6-	5	ot	0.225
4/21	BALDWIN (7-11)	PA 2DSOUTH	80.5		W	6-	5		0.250
4/24	at Wheeling Cent Cath (8-6)	PA Indep	73.9		L	3-	12		-0.350
4/28	BUTLER AREA (8-10)	PA 2DNORTH	79.8		L	4-	5		-0.250
4/30	FOX CHAPEL (9-6)	PA 2DSOUTH	87.8		W	4-	3		0.425
5/04	at Winchester Thurston (15-2)	PA 2DSOUTH	90.9	7	L	0-	8		-0.025
5/08	at Greensburg Cath Cent (12-5)	PA 2DSOUTH	90.2	10	L	3-	13		0.000
5/12	UNIVERSITY (12-7)	PA 2DSOUTH	83.0		L	7-	13		-0.275
5/18	at University (12-7)	PA 2DSOUTH	83.0		L	3-	4		-0.200
			77.3						-0.27

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	H	Shaler Area	7-	8	-1	2	–	-1.47	-3.50
3/27	H	Canon-McMillan	5-	6	-1	-1		-1.47	-0.14
4/13	A	Quaker Valley	3-	2	1	-4	++	1.47	5.25
4/14	H	Wheeling Cent Cath	14-	4	10	7	+	-1.47	3.07
4/16	H	Fairmont	13-	1	12	9	+	-1.47	2.56
4/18	A	Wheeling Park	16-	0	16	14	+	1.47	2.29
4/20	H	Chartiers Valley	6-	5	1	1		-1.47	0.12
4/21	H	Baldwin	6-	5	1	0		-1.47	1.24
4/24	A	Wheeling Cent Cath	3-	12	-9	4	–––	1.47	12.98
4/28	H	Butler Area	4-	5	-1	0		-1.47	-1.39
4/30	H	Fox Chapel	4-	3	1	-7	+++	-1.47	7.95
5/04	A	Winchester Thurston	0-	8	-8	-9		1.47	0.53
5/08	A	Greensburg Cath Cent	3-	13	-10	-11		1.47	0.81
5/12	H	University	7-	13	-6	1	–––	-1.47	-6.88
5/18	A	University	3-	4	-1	-2		1.47	1.07
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/14	H	Wheeling Cent Cath	14-	4	0.00
4/16	H	Fairmont	13-	1	-2.00
4/18	A	Wheeling Park	16-	0	-2.29
5/08	A	Greensburg Cath Cent	3-	13	-0.81
10-goal correction: -0.34

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	1860
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.96		Natl Power Rank	1860
Natl SOS Rating	65.58		Natl SOS Rank	2221
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.27		Natl Quality Win Rank	1814
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1438
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.7


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