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Computer Rating

Strength of Schedule

Nat'l Quality Wins

Conference Standings

Marriott's Ridge Mustangs (6-12)

Region: MD 21 North

State: MD

Coach: Dan Sageman

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/22	ARCHBISHOP CURLEY (17-1)	MD B MIAA	93.9		L	4-	16		0.000
3/27	ATHOLTON (7-6)	MD 32 South	84.6		L	5-	7		-0.175
3/30	at Wilde Lake (6-10)	MD 32 South	82.1		L	4-	9		-0.175
4/07	at CM Wright (6-10)	MD 43 South	83.3		L	4-	16		-0.150
4/07	vs. Wilde Lake # (6-10)	MD 32 South	82.1		L	5-	7		-0.200
4/10	at Reservoir (2-11)	MD 32 South	77.6		W	11-	7		0.275
4/13	LONG REACH (1-12)	MD 32 South	72.5		W	13-	5		0.075
4/17	HAMMOND (7-7)	MD 32 South	82.6		L	10-	13		-0.225
4/20	at Howard (9-6)	MD 32 South	86.9		L	6-	19		-0.100
4/24	at Glenelg HS (15-3)	MD 32 South	92.3	8	L	2-	19		0.000
4/26	at Oakland Mills (1-13)	MD 21 North	69.5		W	16-	2		0.050
5/01	MOUNT HEBRON (12-6)	MD 32 South	90.8		L	5-	18		0.000
5/05	RIVER HILL (12-4)	MD 32 South	89.6		L	7-	15		-0.100
5/07	at Winters Mill (19-0)	MD 21 West	95.4	2	L	0-	13		0.000
5/12	at Loch Raven (4-9)	MD 21 North	78.3		W	11-	4		0.225
5/14	at Edmondson (8-5)	MD 21 North	72.6		W	16-	4		0.050
5/16	PIKESVILLE (6-11)	MD 21 North	78.3		W	13-	8		0.175
5/19	vs. Parkside # (17-1)	MD 21 East	92.3	7	L	5-	7		0.000
# Neutral site			83.3						-0.27

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	H	Archbishop Curley	4-	16	-12	-13		-1.08		0.66
3/27	H	Atholton	5-	7	-2	-3		-0.72	0.60
3/30	A	Wilde Lake	4-	9	-5	-3	–	0.72	-2.50
4/07	A	CM Wright	4-	16	-12	-4	–––	0.72	-8.32
4/07	N	Wilde Lake	5-	7	-2	-2		0.00	-0.22
4/10	A	Reservoir	11-	7	4	-1	++	0.72	4.54
4/13	H	Long Reach	13-	5	8	7		-0.72	0.97
4/17	H	Hammond	10-	13	-3	-1	–	-0.72	-2.34
4/20	A	Howard	6-	19	-13	-6	–––	0.72	-6.76
4/24	A	Glenelg HS	2-	19	-17	-10	–––	0.72	-6.90
4/26	A	Oakland Mills	16-	2	14	8	+++	0.72	6.04
5/01	H	Mount Hebron	5-	18	-13	-10	–	-0.72	-3.42
5/05	H	River Hill	7-	15	-8	-6		-0.72	-1.85
5/07	A	Winters Mill	0-	13	-13	-13		0.72	0.47
5/12	A	Loch Raven	11-	4	7	1	++	0.72	5.92
5/14	A	Edmondson	16-	4	12	8	+	0.72	3.62
5/16	H	Pikesville	13-	8	5	3	+	-0.72	2.47
5/19	N	Parkside	5-	7	-2	-10	+++	0.00	7.66
									0.00	0.66

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/22	H	Archbishop Curley	4-	16	-0.66
4/07	A	CM Wright	4-	16	2.00
4/20	A	Howard	6-	19	3.00
4/24	A	Glenelg HS	2-	19	7.00
4/26	A	Oakland Mills	16-	2	-4.00
5/01	H	Mount Hebron	5-	18	3.00
5/07	A	Winters Mill	0-	13	-0.47
5/14	A	Edmondson	16-	4	-2.00
10-goal correction: 0.44

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	80.		Natl CCR Rank	1780
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.16		Natl Power Rank	1780
Natl SOS Rating	76.66		Natl SOS Rank	1216
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.27		Natl Quality Win Rank	1801
W-L Pct Rating	0.33		W-L Pct Rank	1860
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-11.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.0


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