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Moravian Academy Lions (7-9)

Region: PA PVLL-LV

State: PA

Coach: Mark Barnes

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/29	NEW HOPE/SOLEBURY (3-9)	PA Indep	83.6		W	8-	3		0.100
4/05	WYOMING SEMINARY (6-6)	PA Indep	88.0		L	5-	10		-0.200
4/10	BETHLEHEM AREA (3-6)	PA Indep	83.1		W	7-	4		0.075
4/12	at Nazareth HS (7-9)	PA PVLL-LV	83.3		W	10-	1		0.125
4/19	at Easton (12-5)	PA PVLL-LV	91.4		L	1-	10		-0.025
4/20	at Wyoming Seminary (6-6)	PA Indep	88.0		L	4-	11		-0.125
4/21	LANCASTER COU DAY (1-15)	PA LL04	74.7		W	12-	5		0.000
4/23	at Parkland (11-5)	PA PVLL-LV	90.0		L	4-	11		-0.025
4/30	at Saucon Valley (4-11)	PA PVLL-LV	82.7		W	13-	0		0.075
5/01	SOUTHERN LEHIGH (10-7)	PA PVLL-LV	89.0		L	6-	7		-0.150
5/02	WILLIAM ALLEN (3-11)	PA PVLL-LV	82.5		W	16-	6		0.025
5/03	EMMAUS (15-5)	PA PVLL-LV	92.9		L	1-	8		-0.050
5/04	at New Hope/Solebury (3-9)	PA Indep	83.6		L	9-	10		-0.325
5/08	ALLENTOWN CATH CENTRAL (10-10)	PA PVLL-LV	86.7		L	3-	6		-0.275
5/10	PERKIOMEN SCHOOL (3-11)	PA Noeast	82.9		W	8-	1		0.050
5/15	at Parkland (11-5)	PA PVLL-LV	90.0		L	8-	14		-0.025
			80.8						-0.75

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/29	H	New Hope/Solebury	8-	3	5	6		-1.29	-0.59
4/05	H	Wyoming Seminary	5-	10	-5	-2	–	-1.29	-2.83
4/10	H	Bethlehem Area	7-	4	3	7	–	-1.29	-3.82
4/12	A	Nazareth HS	10-	1	9	5	+	1.29	3.98
4/19	A	Easton	1-	10	-9	-9		1.29	-0.49
4/20	A	Wyoming Seminary	4-	11	-7	-5	–	1.29	-2.25
4/21	H	Lancaster Cou Day	12-	5	7	12	––	-1.42		-5.12
4/23	A	Parkland	4-	11	-7	-9		1.29	1.70
4/30	A	Saucon Valley	13-	0	13	7	+++	1.29	6.39
5/01	H	Southern Lehigh	6-	7	-1	-4	+	-1.29	3.13
5/02	H	William Allen	16-	6	10	9		-1.29	0.65
5/03	H	Emmaus	1-	8	-7	-8		-1.29	0.86
5/04	A	New Hope/Solebury	9-	10	-1	3	––	1.29	-4.01
5/08	H	Allentown Cath Central	3-	6	-3	1	–	-1.29	-3.98
5/10	H	Perkiomen School	8-	1	7	8		-1.29	-1.45
5/15	A	Parkland	8-	14	-6	-9	+	1.29	2.70
									0.00	-5.12

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/30	A	Saucon Valley	13-	0	-3.00
5/02	H	William Allen	16-	6	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	1037
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.41		Natl Power Rank	1037
Natl SOS Rating	71.06		Natl SOS Rank	1804
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.75		Natl Quality Win Rank	2446
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1544
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7


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