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McGann-Mercy Monarchs (2-15)

Conference: Div II

Region: NY C Sec 11

State: NY

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/21	at Copiague (3-14)	NY A Sec 11	84.7		W	8-	3		0.225
3/22	DEER PARK (6-11)	NY A Sec 11	86.3		L	7-	9		-0.250
3/29	BABYLON (10-9)	NY C Sec 11	94.4		L	4-	17		0.000
4/07	at Riverhead (8-9)	NY A Sec 11	87.1		L	2-	4		-0.150
4/09	MOUNT SINAI (11-7)	NY C Sec 11	95.1		L	5-	12		0.000
4/13	at Hauppauge (8-9)	NY B Sec 11	91.5		L	3-	13		-0.050
4/17	at Kings Park (13-7)	NY B Sec 11	96.2	10	L	3-	16		0.000
4/19	BAYPORT-BLUE POINT (3-14)	NY C Sec 11	86.5		L	7-	9		-0.175
4/23	ROCKY POINT (12-6)	NY B Sec 11	95.7		L	11-	19		0.000
4/25	ISLIP (9-8)	NY B Sec 11	91.0		L	4-	13		-0.125
5/01	at Eastport/South Manor (7-10)	NY B Sec 11	88.7		L	10-	15		-0.125
5/02	at John Glenn-Elwood (2-15)	NY C Sec 11	85.2		W	10-	8		0.275
5/05	WESTHAMPTON BEACH (8-8)	NY B Sec 11	90.6		L	7-	14		-0.150
5/08	at East Hampton (3-11)	NY B Sec 11	86.7		L	7-	16		-0.125
5/11	at Harborfields (6-11)	NY B Sec 11	88.0		L	6-	12		-0.125
5/15	at Sayville (12-7)	NY B Sec 11	96.2	9	L	7-	15		0.000
5/17	SHOREHAM-WADING RIVER (18-3)	NY C Sec 11	98.2	3	L	6-	20		0.000
			85.6						-0.77

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	A	Copiague	8-	3	5	1	+	0.83	3.84
3/22	H	Deer Park	7-	9	-2	0		-0.83	-1.67
3/29	H	Babylon	4-	17	-13	-10	–	-0.83	-2.54
4/07	A	Riverhead	2-	4	-2	-4		0.83	1.62
4/09	H	Mount Sinai	5-	12	-7	-10	+	-0.83	3.11
4/13	A	Hauppauge	3-	13	-10	-8		0.83	-1.87
4/17	A	Kings Park	3-	16	-13	-12		0.83	-0.78
4/19	H	Bayport-Blue Point	7-	9	-2	-3		-0.83	0.79
4/23	H	Rocky Point	11-	19	-8	-10		-0.83	1.85
4/25	H	Islip	4-	13	-9	-5	––	-0.83	-4.16
5/01	A	Eastport/South Manor	10-	15	-5	-5		0.83	0.47
5/02	A	John Glenn-Elwood	10-	8	2	-1	+	0.83	2.58
5/05	H	Westhampton Beach	7-	14	-7	-4	–	-0.83	-2.92
5/08	A	East Hampton	7-	16	-9	-5	––	0.83	-4.43
5/11	A	Harborfields	6-	12	-6	-5		0.83	-0.74
5/15	A	Sayville	7-	15	-8	-13	++	0.83	5.04
5/17	H	Shoreham-Wading River	6-	20	-14	-14		-0.83	-0.19
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/29	H	Babylon	4-	17	3.00
4/13	A	Hauppauge	3-	13	0.00
4/17	A	Kings Park	3-	16	0.78
5/17	H	Shoreham-Wading River	6-	20	0.19
10-goal correction: 0.23

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1099
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.21		Natl Power Rank	1099
Natl SOS Rating	80.54		Natl SOS Rank	835
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.77		Natl Quality Win Rank	2479
W-L Pct Rating	0.12		W-L Pct Rank	2413
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-15		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.3


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