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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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Mesa Heat (3-9)

Region: AZ Div-2State: AZCoach: Geof Larsen

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
2/03at Tucson Tanque Verde (8-6)AZ Div-283.8L5-16 -0.025  
2/12at Scottsdale Christian (0-12)AZ Div-264.9W14- 2 0.100  
2/20at Phoenix Country Day (5-8)AZ Div-278.6L7-13 -0.125  
2/24CORONA DEL SOL (10-4)AZ Div-287.29L2-15 -0.025  
3/03PHOENIX COUNTRY DAY (5-8)AZ Div-278.6W9- 6 0.325  
3/08at Highland (3-9)AZ Div-181.3L11-13 -0.050  
3/14at Mountain Pointe (7-6)AZ Div-187.96L0-18 0.000  
3/20at Horizon (4-9)AZ Div-274.5L7-14 -0.225  
3/24CORONA DEL SOL (10-4)AZ Div-287.29L3-15 -0.025  
3/27HAMILTON (10-4)AZ Div-287.010L8-18 -0.050  
3/31BASHA (2-10)AZ Div-271.2W11- 4 0.175  
4/12PINNACLE (7-7)AZ Div-281.9L6-11 -0.125  
 81.4     -0.05  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/03ATucson Tanque Verde5-16-11   -9       1.03       -2.14
2/12AScottsdale Christian14-212   6       +++1.03       6.02
2/20APhoenix Country Day7-13-6   -5       1.03       -0.98
2/24HCorona del Sol2-15-13   -9       -1.03       -3.57
3/03HPhoenix Country Day9-63   -3       ++-1.03       5.96
3/08AHighland11-13-2   -8       +++1.03       6.31
3/14AMountain Pointe0-18-18   -14       ––1.03       -4.45
3/20AHorizon7-14-7   -1       ––1.03       -5.88
3/24HCorona del Sol3-15-12   -9       -1.03       -2.57
3/27HHamilton8-18-10   -8       -1.03       -1.93
3/31HBasha11-47   3       +-1.03       3.58
4/12HPinnacle6-11-5   -5       -1.03       -0.34
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/03ATucson Tanque Verde5-161.00
2/12AScottsdale Christian14-2-2.00
2/24HCorona del Sol2-153.00
3/14AMountain Pointe0-184.45
3/24HCorona del Sol3-152.00
3/27HHamilton8-180.00
10-goal correction: 0.70

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 76.   Natl CCR Rank 2126
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 75.34   Natl Power Rank 2126
Natl SOS Rating 72.39   Natl SOS Rank 1651
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.05   Natl Quality Win Rank 1429
W-L Pct Rating 0.25   W-L Pct Rank 2092
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 3-9   Ave Goal diff (all ) -5.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -13.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 3-9   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -5.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -2.7



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