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Mt Anthony Union Patriots (10-6)

Region: VT 1 MVLI

State: VT

Coach: Matt Morrissey

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/10	OTTER VALLEY UNION (2-9)	VT 2 NVAC	73.6		W	12-	1		0.000
4/14	SOUTH BURLINGTON (7-6)	VT 1 NVAC	89.0	5	L	4-	9		-0.200
4/19	MT MANSFIELD UNION (4-12)	VT 1 NVAC	84.2	8	W	5-	4		0.200
4/21	BRATTLEBORO (0-11)	VT 1 MVLI	70.0		W	20-	0		0.000
4/24	at Rutland (6-9)	VT 1 MVLI	82.9	9	W	14-	3		0.150
4/26	vs. Mount St Joseph # (1-9)	VT 1 Indep	71.8		W	15-	1		0.000
4/28	at Burr-Burton Academy (15-4)	VT 2 MVLI	90.9		L	7-	10		-0.125
5/02	at Woodstock (12-3)	VT 1 MVLI	92.0	2	L	3-	6		-0.150
5/05	at Middlebury Union (9-8)	VT 1 NVAC	88.4	6	L	6-	13		-0.175
5/11	HARTFORD (8-7)	VT 2 NVAC	83.5		W	11-	5		0.125
5/14	at Mt Mansfield Union (4-12)	VT 1 NVAC	84.2	8	W	9-	8	ot	0.250
5/16	BURR-BURTON ACADEMY (15-4)	VT 2 MVLI	90.9		W	11-	9		0.300
5/18	RUTLAND (6-9)	VT 1 MVLI	82.9	9	W	6-	5	ot	0.125
5/21	at Brattleboro (0-11)	VT 1 MVLI	70.0		W	15-	1		0.000
5/23	WOODSTOCK (12-3)	VT 1 MVLI	92.0	2	L	9-	10		-0.175
6/01	at Essex Junction (13-5)	VT 1 NVAC	93.2	1	L	2-	9		-0.125
# Neutral site			85.9						0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/10	H	Otter Valley Union	12-	1	11	15	––	-1.28		-4.33
4/14	H	South Burlington	4-	9	-5	-2	–	-0.69	-3.40
4/19	H	Mt Mansfield Union	5-	4	1	2		-0.69	-0.88
4/21	H	Brattleboro	20-	0	20	16	++	-0.69	4.43
4/24	A	Rutland	14-	3	11	4	+++	0.69	7.04
4/26	N	Mount St Joseph	15-	1	14	13		0.00	0.77
4/28	A	Burr-Burton Academy	7-	10	-3	-5		1.28		1.57
5/02	A	Woodstock	3-	6	-3	-4		0.69	1.00
5/05	A	Middlebury Union	6-	13	-7	-3	––	0.69	-4.05
5/11	H	Hartford	11-	5	6	5		-1.28		0.59
5/14	A	Mt Mansfield Union	9-	8	1	0		0.69	0.50
5/16	H	Burr-Burton Academy	11-	9	2	-2	++	-1.28		4.01
5/18	H	Rutland	6-	5	1	5	––	-0.69	-4.34
5/21	A	Brattleboro	15-	1	14	14		0.69	-0.19
5/23	H	Woodstock	9-	10	-1	-3		-0.69	1.61
6/01	A	Essex Junction	2-	9	-7	-5	–	0.69	-2.49
									0.00	1.85

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	H	Otter Valley Union	12-	1	4.33
4/21	H	Brattleboro	20-	0	-4.43
4/24	A	Rutland	14-	3	-1.00
4/26	N	Mount St Joseph	15-	1	-0.77
5/21	A	Brattleboro	15-	1	0.19
10-goal correction: -0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	816
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.66		Natl Power Rank	816
Natl SOS Rating	81.38		Natl SOS Rank	736
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	1067
W-L Pct Rating	0.62		W-L Pct Rank	835
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.0


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