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Mount Tabor Spartans (9-9)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Mike Stuckert

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/28	at East Chapel Hill (17-5)	NC 4A	92.3	5	L	4-	11		-0.050
3/07	WESTERN GUILFORD (19-0)	NC 3A/2A	94.6	2	L	7-	13		-0.100
3/09	BISHOP MCGUINNESS (10-7)	NC 3A/2A	82.5		W	7-	4		0.225
3/13	CHARLOTTE CATHOLIC (18-6)	NC 3A/2A	91.6	6	L	4-	12		-0.125
3/14	at Chapel Hill (22-4)	NC 4A	95.2	1	L	5-	11		0.000
3/20	FREEDOM-MORGANTON (4-9)	NC 4A	74.7		W	14-	4		0.050
3/23	at R.J. Reynolds (6-10)	NC 4A	77.8		W	9-	7		0.150
3/28	at Charlotte Providence (20-4)	NC 4A	92.8	4	L	5-	14		-0.050
4/13	WEST FORSYTH (5-12)	NC 4A	74.9		W	12-	4		0.050
4/14	at Forsyth Cou Day (9-10)	NC Prvate	85.3		L	4-	6		-0.175
4/17	GREENSBORO GRIMSLEY (10-8)	NC 4A	85.2		W	7-	6		0.275
4/18	at Freedom-Morganton (4-9)	NC 4A	74.7		W	12-	2		0.075
4/21	CHARLOTTE MYERS PARK (10-9)	NC 4A	82.1		L	8-	10		-0.300
4/24	at Hickory (7-7)	NC 3A/2A	75.1		W	12-	1		0.025
4/26	at West Forsyth (5-12)	NC 4A	74.9		W	7-	4		0.075
4/27	R.J. REYNOLDS (6-10)	NC 4A	77.8		W	10-	7		0.125
5/02	at Greensboro Page (16-4)	NC 4A	91.3	7	L	2-	10		-0.100
5/08	at Charlotte Providence (20-4)	NC 4A	92.8	4	L	5-	13		-0.050
			85.4						0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/28	A	East Chapel Hill	4-	11	-7	-8		0.74	0.70
3/07	H	Western Guilford	7-	13	-6	-6		-0.74	0.49
3/09	H	Bishop McGuinness	7-	4	3	1		-0.74	1.93
3/13	H	Charlotte Catholic	4-	12	-8	-5	–	-0.74	-2.66
3/14	A	Chapel Hill	5-	11	-6	-11	++	0.74	4.77
3/20	H	Freedom-Morganton	14-	4	10	8		-0.74	1.56
3/23	A	R.J. Reynolds	9-	7	2	4		0.74	-1.85
3/28	A	Charlotte Providence	5-	14	-9	-8		0.74	-0.69
4/13	H	West Forsyth	12-	4	8	8		-0.74	-0.18
4/14	A	Forsyth Cou Day	4-	6	-2	-3		1.20		1.24
4/17	H	Greensboro Grimsley	7-	6	1	-1	+	-0.74	2.01
4/18	A	Freedom-Morganton	12-	2	10	7	+	0.74	3.04
4/21	H	Charlotte Myers Park	8-	10	-2	2	––	-0.74	-4.18
4/24	A	Hickory	12-	1	11	9	+	0.74	2.47
4/26	A	West Forsyth	7-	4	3	7	–	0.74	-3.70
4/27	H	R.J. Reynolds	10-	7	3	5	–	-0.74	-2.32
5/02	A	Greensboro Page	2-	10	-8	-6		0.74	-1.70
5/08	A	Charlotte Providence	5-	13	-8	-8		0.74	0.31
									0.00	1.24

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/20	H	Freedom-Morganton	14-	4	0.00
4/18	A	Freedom-Morganton	12-	2	0.00
4/24	A	Hickory	12-	1	-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	1364
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.25		Natl Power Rank	1364
Natl SOS Rating	80.67		Natl SOS Rank	820
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	1153
W-L Pct Rating	0.50		W-L Pct Rank	1307
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.3


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