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Mount Carmel Sun Devils (6-11)

Conference: D1Region: CA NorthState: CACoach: Nathan Williams

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/06at Otay Ranch (10-8)CA Metro81.1W9- 3 0.225  
3/14at Torrey Pines (21-4)CA North95.91L0-14 0.000  
3/16J SERRA CATHOLIC (13-4)CA Trinity89.2L2-15 -0.125  
3/21WESTVIEW (11-8)CA North88.19L0-14 0.000  
3/26at La Costa Canyon (15-8)CA North92.53L1-17 0.000  
3/28at Carlsbad (6-11)CA North81.7L7-11 -0.275  
3/30SAN MARCOS (6-8)CA North82.2W5- 4 0.200  
4/04RANCHO BERNARDO (11-8)CA North88.18L3-13 0.000  
4/06at Canyon Crest (12-8)CA Coastal87.0L1- 5 -0.075  
4/09SERRA (3-13)CA City80.2W6- 5 0.175  
4/23at San Marcos (6-8)CA North82.2W7- 6 0.225  
4/25POWAY (14-7)CA North91.64L1-15 0.000  
5/02FALLBROOK (5-14)CA North79.8W10- 6 0.175  
5/07at Poway (14-7)CA North91.64L0-16 0.000  
5/11at Rancho Bernardo (11-8)CA North88.18L4-13 0.000  
5/14CARLSBAD (6-11)CA North81.7L4- 6 -0.300  
5/16at Fallbrook (5-14)CA North79.8W10- 4 0.200  
 85.0     0.42  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/06AOtay Ranch9-36   1       ++0.53       4.51
3/14ATorrey Pines0-14-14   -17       +0.53       2.82
3/16HJ Serra Catholic2-15-13   -5       –––-0.80       -7.74
3/21HWestview0-14-14   -10       –-0.53       -3.98
3/26ALa Costa Canyon1-17-16   -16       0.53       -0.46
3/28ACarlsbad7-11-4   1       ––0.53       -4.84
3/30HSan Marcos5-41   2       -0.53       -0.84
4/04HRancho Bernardo3-13-10   -10       -0.53       -0.37
4/06ACanyon Crest1-5-4   -7       +0.53       2.83
4/09HSerra6-51   3       -0.53       -1.51
4/23ASan Marcos7-61   1       0.53       0.21
4/25HPoway1-15-14   -14       -0.53       0.11
5/02HFallbrook10-64   3       -0.53       0.75
5/07APoway0-16-16   -15       0.53       -0.84
5/11ARancho Bernardo4-13-9   -11       0.53       1.68
5/14HCarlsbad4-6-2   2       –-0.53       -3.89
5/16AFallbrook10-46   2       +0.53       3.80
         0.00-7.74

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/14ATorrey Pines0-14-2.82
3/16HJ Serra Catholic2-153.00
3/21HWestview0-144.00
3/26ALa Costa Canyon1-170.46
4/04HRancho Bernardo3-130.00
4/25HPoway1-15-0.11
5/07APoway0-160.84
10-goal correction: 0.32

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 84.   Natl CCR Rank 1420
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 83.18   Natl Power Rank 1420
Natl SOS Rating 79.72   Natl SOS Rank 928
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.42   Natl Quality Win Rank 642
W-L Pct Rating 0.35   W-L Pct Rank 1806
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 6-11   Ave Goal diff (all ) -5.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -15.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-8   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -12.1
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -12.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -1.7



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