| Region: AZ Div-1 | State: AZ | Coach: Larry Noble |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/07 | SAGUARO (7-6) | AZ Div-1 | 87.6 | 7 | W | 8- | 7 | ot | 0.200 |
2/14 | at Desert Mountain (10-4) | AZ Div-1 | 90.9 | 2 | L | 6- | 7 | | -0.200 |
2/23 | at Notre Dame Prep (1-11) | AZ Div-1 | 76.1 | | W | 14- | 3 | | 0.025 |
2/28 | at Highland (3-9) | AZ Div-1 | 81.3 | | W | 10- | 3 | | 0.150 |
3/03 | TUCSON (8-5) | AZ Div-1 | 89.6 | 5 | L | 5- | 6 | | -0.250 |
3/09 | CORONA DEL SOL (10-4) | AZ Div-2 | 87.2 | 9 | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.175 |
3/14 | MESA (3-9) | AZ Div-2 | 75.3 | | W | 18- | 0 | | 0.000 |
3/23 | at Gilbert (5-7) | AZ Div-1 | 86.1 | | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.275 |
3/30 | BROPHY PREP (15-5) | AZ Div-1 | 94.8 | 1 | L | 6- | 15 | | -0.125 |
4/04 | CHAPARRAL (11-6) | AZ Div-1 | 90.6 | 4 | L | 4- | 7 | | -0.250 |
4/09 | CHANDLER (7-6) | AZ Div-1 | 87.4 | 8 | W | 9- | 8 | ot | 0.175 |
4/13 | DESERT VISTA (10-4) | AZ Div-1 | 90.9 | 3 | W | 8- | 5 | | 0.250 |
4/18 | at Desert Vista (10-4) | AZ Div-1 | 90.9 | 3 | L | 4- | 8 | | -0.200 |
| | 86.9 | | | | | | -0.32 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/07 | H | Saguaro | 8- | 7 | 1 | 2 | | -1.03 | -1.12 | |
2/14 | A | Desert Mountain | 6- | 7 | -1 | -2 | | 1.03 | 0.51 | |
2/23 | A | Notre Dame Prep | 14- | 3 | 11 | 9 | + | 1.03 | 2.14 | |
2/28 | A | Highland | 10- | 3 | 7 | 4 | + | 1.03 | 2.79 | |
3/03 | H | Tucson | 5- | 6 | -1 | 0 | | -1.03 | -1.31 | |
3/09 | H | Corona del Sol | 12- | 6 | 6 | 3 | + | -1.03 | 2.91 | |
3/14 | H | Mesa | 18- | 0 | 18 | 14 | ++ | -1.03 | 4.45 | |
3/23 | A | Gilbert | 7- | 8 | -1 | 1 | | 1.03 | -1.63 | |
3/30 | H | Brophy Prep | 6- | 15 | -9 | -5 | –– | -1.03 | -4.18 | |
4/04 | H | Chaparral | 4- | 7 | -3 | 0 | – | -1.03 | -3.08 | |
4/09 | H | Chandler | 9- | 8 | 1 | 3 | – | -1.03 | -2.07 | |
4/13 | H | Desert Vista | 8- | 5 | 3 | 0 | + | -1.03 | 2.77 | |
4/18 | A | Desert Vista | 4- | 8 | -4 | -2 | – | 1.03 | -2.17 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/23 | A | Notre Dame Prep | 14- | 3 | -1.00 |
3/14 | H | Mesa | 18- | 0 | -4.45 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.42 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 89. | | Natl CCR Rank | 799 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 87.88 | | Natl Power Rank | 799 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 83.17 | | Natl SOS Rank | 552 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.32 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1893 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.54 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1110 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 7-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -2.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 4-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -0.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 7-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.0 |
| 
