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Monte Vista/Danville Mustangs (18-5)

Conference: D1Region: CA EastBayState: CACoach: Mike Emerson

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/06UNIVERSITY SF (17-5)CA BayArea92.88W12- 3 0.150  
3/13PIEDMONT (15-6)CA Diablo93.86W7- 6 0.225  
3/16DE LASALLE (19-3)CA Diablo96.62W5- 4ot0.300  
3/20at Foothill (8-12)CA EastBay87.6W13- 1 0.075  
3/23at California (12-7)CA EastBay89.4W10- 6 0.050  
3/27AMADOR VALLEY (12-8)CA EastBay91.79W8- 5 0.150  
3/30GRANADA (6-14)CA EastBay80.0W18- 2 0.000  
3/31FOOTHILL-SANTA ANA (19-2)CA Seaview96.8L4-10 -0.225  
4/03at Livermore (0-14)CA EastBay73.4W18- 0 0.000  
4/12vs. La Costa Canyon # (15-8)CA North93.6W10- 7 0.200  
4/13vs. Torrey Pines # (21-4)CA North95.9W8- 3 0.275  
4/14at Saint Ignatius Prep (18-0)CA CentCo98.61L4- 8 -0.100  
4/17SAN RAMON VALLEY (16-6)CA EastBay94.34L4-13 -0.250  
4/20FOOTHILL (8-12)CA EastBay87.6W7- 4 0.075  
4/24CALIFORNIA (12-7)CA EastBay89.4W9- 3 0.050  
4/27at Amador Valley (12-8)CA EastBay91.79W13- 3 0.175  
5/01at Granada (6-14)CA EastBay80.0W18- 1 0.000  
5/04LIVERMORE (0-14)CA EastBay73.4W14- 0 0.000  
5/05vs. Saint Ignatius Prep # (18-0)CA CentCo98.61L3- 9 -0.125  
5/11at San Ramon Valley (16-6)CA EastBay94.34W10- 7 0.275  
5/15AMADOR VALLEY (12-8)CA EastBay91.79W7- 5 0.150  
5/17PIEDMONT (15-6)CA Diablo93.86W5- 3 0.225  
5/19vs. De LaSalle # (19-3)CA Diablo96.62L7- 8 -0.200  
# Neutral site 89.2     1.47  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/06HUniversity SF12-39   4       ++-0.38       5.35
3/13HPiedmont7-61   1       -0.38       0.15
3/16HDe LaSalle5-41   -2       +-0.38       2.52
3/20AFoothill13-112   7       ++0.38       5.48
3/23ACalifornia10-64   8       –0.38       -3.71
3/27HAmador Valley8-53   4       -0.38       -0.96
3/30HGranada18-216   16       -0.38       0.24
3/31HFoothill-Santa Ana4-10-6   -1       ––-0.72       -5.15
4/03ALivermore18-018   19       0.38       -0.90
4/12NLa Costa Canyon10-73   2       0.00       1.47
4/13NTorrey Pines8-35   -1       ++0.00       5.78
4/14ASaint Ignatius Prep4-8-4   -6       0.38       1.64
4/17HSan Ramon Valley4-13-9   0       –––-0.38       -9.16
4/20HFoothill7-43   7       ––-0.38       -4.28
4/24HCalifornia9-36   8       –-0.38       -2.47
4/27AAmador Valley13-310   3       +++0.38       6.80
5/01AGranada18-117   15       0.38       2.00
5/04HLivermore14-014   20       ––-0.38       -5.65
5/05NSaint Ignatius Prep3-9-6   -5       0.00       -0.73
5/11ASan Ramon Valley10-73   -1       +0.38       3.60
5/15HAmador Valley7-52   4       -0.38       -1.96
5/17HPiedmont5-32   1       -0.38       1.15
5/19NDe LaSalle7-8-1   -2       0.00       0.90
         0.002.10

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/20AFoothill13-1-2.00
3/30HGranada18-2-0.24
4/03ALivermore18-00.90
4/27AAmador Valley13-30.00
5/01AGranada18-1-2.00
5/04HLivermore14-05.65
10-goal correction: 0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 95.   Natl CCR Rank 158
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 95.17   Natl Power Rank 158
Natl SOS Rating 88.40   Natl SOS Rank 211
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.47   Natl Quality Win Rank 109
W-L Pct Rating 0.78   W-L Pct Rank 304
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 18-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 4-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -1.6
Wins/Losses (top 10) 8-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 0.9
Wins/Losses (top 20) 12-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 2.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.0



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