| Region: VA Nationl | State: VA | Coach: Dale Nalls |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/13 | HAYFIELD (14-2) | VA Patriot | 93.1 | 4 | L | 6- | 18 | | -0.025 |
3/19 | at West Springfield (9-6) | VA Patriot | 90.1 | 10 | L | 4- | 13 | | 0.000 |
3/20 | at T.C. Williams (9-6) | VA Patriot | 87.1 | | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.400 |
3/23 | at West Potomac (6-6) | VA Patriot | 86.3 | | L | 5- | 9 | | -0.125 |
3/26 | at Wakefield HS (0-13) | VA Nationl | 67.9 | | W | 15- | 6 | | 0.050 |
3/30 | FALLS CHURCH (1-11) | VA Nationl | 71.7 | | W | 7- | 5 | | 0.075 |
4/13 | at Yorktown (14-4) | VA Nationl | 92.0 | 7 | L | 3- | 12 | | 0.000 |
4/17 | FAIRFAX (3-9) | VA Concord | 84.2 | | L | 6- | 7 | | -0.200 |
4/19 | WASHINGTON-LEE (4-10) | VA Nationl | 78.9 | | W | 11- | 5 | | 0.175 |
4/23 | at Annandale (8-6) | VA Patriot | 89.2 | | L | 2- | 14 | | 0.000 |
4/27 | at Edison (6-10) | VA Nationl | 82.7 | | W | 10- | 7 | | 0.300 |
5/01 | J.E.B. STUART (4-8) | VA Nationl | 79.1 | | L | 10- | 11 | | -0.300 |
5/07 | FALLS CHURCH (1-11) | VA Nationl | 71.7 | | W | 14- | 9 | | 0.075 |
5/09 | vs. Loudoun Valley # (9-8) | VA Dulles | 81.8 | | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.225 |
5/11 | vs. Yorktown # (14-4) | VA Nationl | 92.0 | 7 | L | 3- | 16 | | 0.000 |
5/15 | MADISON (11-6) | VA Liberty | 91.0 | 9 | L | 2- | 15 | | -0.025 |
| # Neutral site | | 83.5 | | | | | | 0.62 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/13 | H | Hayfield | 6- | 18 | -12 | -9 | – | -1.19 | -2.58 | |
3/19 | A | West Springfield | 4- | 13 | -9 | -10 | | 1.19 | 0.74 | |
3/20 | A | T.C. Williams | 9- | 8 | 1 | -6 | +++ | 1.19 | 7.26 | |
3/23 | A | West Potomac | 5- | 9 | -4 | -5 | | 1.19 | 1.22 | |
3/26 | A | Wakefield HS | 15- | 6 | 9 | 8 | | 1.19 | 0.60 | |
3/30 | H | Falls Church | 7- | 5 | 2 | 7 | –– | -1.19 | -5.36 | |
4/13 | A | Yorktown | 3- | 12 | -9 | -12 | + | 1.19 | 2.58 | |
4/17 | H | Fairfax | 6- | 7 | -1 | -2 | | -1.19 | 1.40 | |
4/19 | H | Washington-Lee | 11- | 5 | 6 | 3 | + | -1.19 | 3.40 | |
4/23 | A | Annandale | 2- | 14 | -12 | -10 | – | 1.19 | -2.31 | |
4/27 | A | Edison | 10- | 7 | 3 | -2 | ++ | 1.19 | 4.90 | |
5/01 | H | J.E.B. Stuart | 10- | 11 | -1 | 2 | – | -1.19 | -2.97 | |
5/07 | H | Falls Church | 14- | 9 | 5 | 7 | – | -1.19 | -2.36 | |
5/09 | N | Loudoun Valley | 8- | 7 | 1 | 1 | | 0.00 | | -0.36 |
5/11 | N | Yorktown | 3- | 16 | -13 | -10 | – | 0.00 | -2.61 | |
5/15 | H | Madison | 2- | 15 | -13 | -9 | – | -1.19 | -3.90 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -0.36 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/13 | H | Hayfield | 6- | 18 | 2.00 |
4/23 | A | Annandale | 2- | 14 | 2.00 |
5/11 | N | Yorktown | 3- | 16 | 3.00 |
5/15 | H | Madison | 2- | 15 | 3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.63 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 82. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1533 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 83.14 | | Natl Power Rank | 1533 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 76.27 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1264 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.62 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 488 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.44 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1550 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 7-9 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -2.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -12.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -11.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-8 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -8.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -8.3 |
| 
