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North Allegheny Tigers (13-6)

Region: PA 1DNORTH

State: PA

Coach: John Rullan

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	BETHEL PARK (10-4)	PA 1DSOUTH	93.8	4	W	13-	4		0.200
3/25	MEDINA (8-8)	OH 1 Reg 3	90.9		W	7-	6		0.150
3/28	FRANKLIN REGIONAL (8-10)	PA 1DSOUTH	91.6	5	L	8-	9	ot	-0.325
3/31	at Hempfield (18-6)	PA LL04	91.9		L	7-	8		-0.275
4/12	at Sewickley Academy (4-12)	PA 1DNORTH	86.7		W	13-	8		0.125
4/18	PINE RICHLAND (6-10)	PA 1DNORTH	87.5		W	5-	1		0.075
4/22	HAMPTON (6-10)	PA 1DSOUTH	86.6		W	15-	7		0.025
4/25	WESTERN RESERVE ACAD (16-3)	OH 1 Indep	98.5		L	9-	20		-0.175
4/30	at Central Catholic (15-3)	PA 1DNORTH	94.1	2	L	7-	8	3ot	-0.275
5/02	at Seneca Valley (8-9)	PA 1DNORTH	90.2	9	W	11-	6		0.150
5/04	PETERS TOWNSHIP (8-7)	PA 1DSOUTH	91.0	6	W	7-	6		0.150
5/06	TROY ATHENS (17-4)	MI 1	94.2		W	12-	9		0.225
5/09	SHADY SIDE ACADEMY (8-10)	PA 1DNORTH	90.4	8	W	14-	6		0.125
5/11	MOUNT LEBANON (14-6)	PA 1DSOUTH	95.7	1	W	12-	11	ot	0.275
5/16	at Upper St Clair (5-9)	PA 1DSOUTH	88.9		W	13-	11		0.150
5/18	at Hudson (19-1)	OH 1 Reg 3	97.5		L	6-	18		-0.125
5/23	SENECA VALLEY (8-9)	PA 1DNORTH	90.2	9	W	13-	6		0.075
5/30	vs. Central Catholic # (15-3)	PA 1DNORTH	94.1	2	W	6-	5		0.200
6/02	vs. Mount Lebanon # (14-6)	PA 1DSOUTH	95.7	1	L	6-	8		-0.175
# Neutral site			90.4						0.57

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	H	Bethel Park	13-	4	9	2	+++	-1.47	6.99
3/25	H	Medina	7-	6	1	4	–	-1.17		-3.30
3/28	H	Franklin Regional	8-	9	-1	3	–	-1.47	-3.73
3/31	A	Hempfield	7-	8	-1	1		1.51		-1.63
4/12	A	Sewickley Academy	13-	8	5	5		1.47	-0.38
4/18	H	Pine Richland	5-	1	4	7	–	-1.47	-3.13
4/22	H	Hampton	15-	7	8	9		-1.47	-0.62
4/25	H	Western Reserve Acad	9-	20	-11	-3	–––	-1.17		-7.74
4/30	A	Central Catholic	7-	8	-1	1		1.47	-1.62
5/02	A	Seneca Valley	11-	6	5	4		1.47	1.34
5/04	H	Peters Township	7-	6	1	4	–	-1.47	-2.94
5/06	H	Troy Athens	12-	9	3	1		-1.57		1.63
5/09	H	Shady Side Academy	14-	6	8	5	+	-1.47	3.04
5/11	H	Mount Lebanon	12-	11	1	-1	+	-1.47	2.50
5/16	A	Upper St Clair	13-	11	2	4		1.47	-1.72
5/18	A	Hudson	6-	18	-12	-5	–––	1.17		-7.37
5/23	H	Seneca Valley	13-	6	7	7		-1.47	0.39
5/30	N	Central Catholic	6-	5	1	2		0.00	-1.09
6/02	N	Mount Lebanon	6-	8	-2	-3		0.00	0.97
									0.00	-18.41

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/25	H	Western Reserve Acad	9-	20	1.00
5/18	A	Hudson	6-	18	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.16

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	94.		Natl CCR Rank	281
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	94.03		Natl Power Rank	281
Natl SOS Rating	90.54		Natl SOS Rank	113
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.57		Natl Quality Win Rank	465
W-L Pct Rating	0.68		W-L Pct Rank	624
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	3-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	1.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	8-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	2.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	11-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.0


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