| Conference: Bay State | Region: MA 2 | State: MA | Coach: Nathan Kittler |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/31 | WESTWOOD (6-14) | MA 3 | 84.2 | | W | 9- | 5 | | 0.175 |
4/02 | OLIVER AMES (6-12) | MA 2 | 84.1 | | W | 9- | 3 | | 0.150 |
4/05 | at Norwood (7-13) | MA 2 | 85.9 | | W | 6- | 4 | | 0.275 |
4/10 | WEYMOUTH (15-5) | MA 1 | 91.2 | | L | 6- | 7 | ot | -0.150 |
4/13 | DEDHAM (0-16) | MA 3 | 75.2 | | W | 15- | 4 | | 0.000 |
4/19 | MEDWAY (11-10) | MA 3 | 87.9 | | L | 10- | 14 | | -0.300 |
4/21 | FOXBOROUGH (3-13) | MA 2 | 82.1 | | W | 4- | 3 | ot | 0.150 |
4/23 | FRAMINGHAM (7-10) | MA 1 | 87.5 | | W | 10- | 8 | | 0.250 |
4/25 | at Wellesley (18-5) | MA 2 | 93.4 | 8 | L | 1- | 12 | | 0.000 |
4/27 | at Needham (17-5) | MA 1 | 93.3 | | L | 3- | 14 | | 0.000 |
5/01 | MILTON (7-13) | MA 2 | 86.6 | | W | 14- | 10 | | 0.225 |
5/04 | at Dedham (0-16) | MA 3 | 75.2 | | W | 17- | 5 | | 0.050 |
5/07 | NORWOOD (7-13) | MA 2 | 85.9 | | W | 11- | 8 | | 0.225 |
5/09 | at Newton North (6-13) | MA 1 | 86.7 | | L | 8- | 11 | | -0.200 |
5/10 | WALPOLE (16-5) | MA 2 | 92.3 | | L | 6- | 14 | | -0.075 |
5/15 | BROOKLINE (3-17) | MA 1 | 82.4 | | W | 11- | 4 | | 0.125 |
5/17 | WELLESLEY (18-5) | MA 2 | 93.4 | 8 | L | 4- | 15 | | -0.050 |
5/22 | at Braintree (8-10) | MA 1 | 88.2 | | L | 3- | 5 | | -0.175 |
5/23 | at Milton (7-13) | MA 2 | 86.6 | | L | 7- | 11 | | -0.225 |
5/24 | at Walpole (16-5) | MA 2 | 92.3 | | L | 2- | 16 | | 0.000 |
5/29 | at Walpole (16-5) | MA 2 | 92.3 | | L | 4- | 15 | | 0.000 |
| | 85.7 | | | | | | 0.45 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/31 | H | Westwood | 9- | 5 | 4 | 3 | | -1.16 | 1.13 | |
4/02 | H | Oliver Ames | 9- | 3 | 6 | 4 | | -1.16 | 1.68 | |
4/05 | A | Norwood | 6- | 4 | 2 | -1 | + | 1.16 | 2.89 | |
4/10 | H | Weymouth | 6- | 7 | -1 | -4 | + | -1.16 | 3.39 | |
4/13 | H | Dedham | 15- | 4 | 11 | 10 | | -1.16 | 0.84 | |
4/19 | H | Medway | 10- | 14 | -4 | 2 | –– | -1.16 | -5.66 | |
4/21 | H | Foxborough | 4- | 3 | 1 | 4 | – | -1.16 | -2.85 | |
4/23 | H | Framingham | 10- | 8 | 2 | 0 | | -1.16 | 1.65 | |
4/25 | A | Wellesley | 1- | 12 | -11 | -10 | | 1.16 | -1.14 | |
4/27 | A | Needham | 3- | 14 | -11 | -11 | | 1.16 | -0.39 | |
5/01 | H | Milton | 14- | 10 | 4 | 1 | + | -1.16 | 2.56 | |
5/04 | A | Dedham | 17- | 5 | 12 | 8 | ++ | 1.16 | 4.16 | |
5/07 | H | Norwood | 11- | 8 | 3 | 1 | | -1.16 | 1.58 | |
5/09 | A | Newton North | 8- | 11 | -3 | -2 | | 1.16 | -0.60 | |
5/10 | H | Walpole | 6- | 14 | -8 | -7 | | -1.16 | -0.63 | |
5/15 | H | Brookline | 11- | 4 | 7 | 5 | + | -1.16 | 2.42 | |
5/17 | H | Wellesley | 4- | 15 | -11 | -8 | – | -1.16 | -3.46 | |
5/22 | A | Braintree | 3- | 5 | -2 | -3 | | 1.16 | 1.17 | |
5/23 | A | Milton | 7- | 11 | -4 | -1 | – | 1.16 | -3.12 | |
5/24 | A | Walpole | 2- | 16 | -14 | -10 | –– | 1.16 | -4.31 | |
5/29 | A | Walpole | 4- | 15 | -11 | -10 | | 1.16 | -1.31 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/13 | H | Dedham | 15- | 4 | -0.84 |
4/25 | A | Wellesley | 1- | 12 | 1.00 |
4/27 | A | Needham | 3- | 14 | 0.39 |
5/04 | A | Dedham | 17- | 5 | -2.00 |
5/17 | H | Wellesley | 4- | 15 | 1.00 |
5/24 | A | Walpole | 2- | 16 | 4.00 |
5/29 | A | Walpole | 4- | 15 | 1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.22 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 88. | | Natl CCR Rank | 930 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 87.84 | | Natl Power Rank | 930 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 81.02 | | Natl SOS Rank | 780 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.45 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 653 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.48 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1360 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-11 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -1.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -11.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -11.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -9.7 |
|
