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Nazareth HS Blue Eagles (7-9)

Region: PA PVLL-LV

State: PA

Coach: Craig Reichl

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	WILLIAM ALLEN (3-11)	PA PVLL-LV	82.5		L	3-	5		-0.325
4/02	at Parkland (11-5)	PA PVLL-LV	90.0		L	2-	18		0.000
4/07	at Easton (12-5)	PA PVLL-LV	91.4		L	1-	13		0.000
4/10	at Valley Forge (6-5)	PA Indep	83.9		W	5-	4	2ot	0.275
4/12	MORAVIAN ACADEMY (7-9)	PA PVLL-LV	85.4		L	1-	10		-0.125
4/14	at Governor Mifflin (7-8)	PA PVLL-BC	82.0		W	8-	4		0.200
4/14	at Wyomissing (3-11)	PA PVLL-BC	80.4		W	8-	7	ot	0.150
4/19	at State College (9-7)	PA CSNLL	77.3		L	4-	10		-0.375
4/24	at Emmaus (15-5)	PA PVLL-LV	92.9		L	1-	17		0.000
4/26	BETHLEHEM AREA (3-6)	PA Indep	83.1		W	8-	7		0.225
4/27	CONRAD WEISER (13-8)	PA PVLL-BC	83.7		L	7-	8		-0.250
4/30	ALLENTOWN CATH CENTRAL (10-10)	PA PVLL-LV	86.7		L	6-	11		-0.125
5/03	at Saucon Valley (4-11)	PA PVLL-LV	82.7		W	5-	2		0.250
5/05	at Tunkhannock (2-7)	PA Indep	77.8		W	13-	0		0.075
5/10	SOUTHERN LEHIGH (10-7)	PA PVLL-LV	89.0		L	1-	10		0.000
5/15	vs. Back Mountain # (1-7)	PA Indep	78.1		W	4-	0		0.050
# Neutral site			77.4						0.03

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	H	William Allen	3-	5	-2	3	––	-1.29	-5.04
4/02	A	Parkland	2-	18	-16	-15		1.29	-0.99
4/07	A	Easton	1-	13	-12	-15	+	1.29	2.82
4/10	A	Valley Forge	5-	4	1	-1	+	1.29	2.19
4/12	H	Moravian Academy	1-	10	-9	-5	–	-1.29	-3.98
4/14	A	Governor Mifflin	8-	4	4	2	+	1.29	2.50
4/14	A	Wyomissing	8-	7	1	4	–	1.29	-3.40
4/19	A	State College	4-	10	-6	5	–––	1.42		10.55
4/24	A	Emmaus	1-	17	-16	-17		1.29	0.76
4/26	H	Bethlehem Area	8-	7	1	1		-1.29	0.50
4/27	H	Conrad Weiser	7-	8	-1	0		-1.29	-1.26
4/30	H	Allentown Cath Central	6-	11	-5	-5		-1.29	0.33
5/03	A	Saucon Valley	5-	2	3	0	+	1.29	2.70
5/05	A	Tunkhannock	13-	0	13	7	++	1.29	5.78
5/10	H	Southern Lehigh	1-	10	-9	-10		-1.29	1.44
5/15	N	Back Mountain	4-	0	4	8	––	0.00	-4.35
									0.00	-10.55

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	A	Parkland	2-	18	0.99
4/07	A	Easton	1-	13	-2.82
4/24	A	Emmaus	1-	17	-0.76
5/05	A	Tunkhannock	13-	0	-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.35

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	1343
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.28		Natl Power Rank	1343
Natl SOS Rating	64.77		Natl SOS Rank	2261
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.03		Natl Quality Win Rank	1283
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1545
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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