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North Cross Raiders (3-7)

Region: VA 3 VIC

State: VA

Coach: Steve Belderes

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/19	ROANOKE CATHOLIC (14-5)	VA 3 VIC	88.5	2	L	2-	10		-0.050
3/24	COVENANT (12-7)	VA 2 VIC	88.9		L	2-	15		0.000
3/30	at New River Valley (4-12)	VA Indep	75.7		L	2-	10		-0.300
4/06	VIRGINIA EPISCOPAL (16-5)	VA 2 VIC	90.8		L	3-	16		0.000
4/12	FISHBURNE MILITARY (0-10)	VA 3 VIC	74.5		W	14-	9		0.075
4/13	NEW RIVER VALLEY (4-12)	VA Indep	75.7		L	2-	12		-0.350
4/18	HARGRAVE MILITARY ACAD (1-9)	VA 3 VIC	77.5	10	W	11-	4		0.175
4/23	at Fishburne Military (0-10)	VA 3 VIC	74.5		W	10-	6		0.100
5/01	at Miller School (4-8)	VA 3 VIC	80.9	5	L	4-	6		-0.200
5/03	at Roanoke Catholic (14-5)	VA 3 VIC	88.5	2	L	5-	15		-0.025
			81.0						-0.57

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/19	H	Roanoke Catholic	2-	10	-8	-8		-0.33	0.35
3/24	H	Covenant	2-	15	-13	-10	–	-0.35		-2.92
3/30	A	New River Valley	2-	10	-8	2	–––	1.13		-9.66
4/06	H	Virginia Episcopal	3-	16	-13	-12		-0.35		-1.00
4/12	H	Fishburne Military	14-	9	5	7		-0.33	-1.82
4/13	H	New River Valley	2-	12	-10	4	–––	-1.13		13.92
4/18	H	Hargrave Military Acad	11-	4	7	3	++	-0.33	4.18
4/23	A	Fishburne Military	10-	6	4	6	–	0.33	-2.16
5/01	A	Miller School	4-	6	-2	-2		0.33	0.44
5/03	A	Roanoke Catholic	5-	15	-10	-9		0.33	-0.98
									0.00	-27.50

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/24	H	Covenant	2-	15	3.00
4/06	H	Virginia Episcopal	3-	16	1.00
4/13	H	New River Valley	2-	12	0.00
5/03	A	Roanoke Catholic	5-	15	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.40

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	2019
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.49		Natl Power Rank	2019
Natl SOS Rating	71.47		Natl SOS Rank	1761
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.57		Natl Quality Win Rank	2148
W-L Pct Rating	0.30		W-L Pct Rank	1989
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.7


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