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Northern Durham Knights (5-12)

Region: NC 4AState: NCCoach: Steve Haine

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
2/28HILLSBOROUGH ORANGE (5-14)NC 3A/2A72.6L10-15 -0.375  
3/05EASTERN GUILFORD (1-18)NC 3A/2A68.4W18- 3 0.000  
3/12CEDAR RIDGE (9-7)NC 3A/2A80.4L6-11 -0.225  
3/19at Hillsborough Orange (5-14)NC 3A/2A72.6W12- 6 0.150  
3/21at Cary Academy (5-11)NC Prvate76.4W10- 9 0.275  
3/23ATHENS DRIVE (2-14)NC 4A77.1W7- 62ot0.250  
3/26at Cedar Ridge (9-7)NC 3A/2A80.4L9-11 -0.175  
3/28EAST CHAPEL HILL (17-5)NC 4A92.35L4-19 0.000  
3/30DURHAM RIVERSIDE (11-8)NC 4A88.0L4-14 -0.025  
4/02WESTERN ALAMANCE (6-12)NC 3A/2A79.8L8- 9ot-0.200  
4/04DURHAM JORDAN (11-9)NC 4A86.3L7-14 -0.050  
4/17at Chapel Hill (22-4)NC 4A95.21L3-18 0.000  
4/20at East Chapel Hill (17-5)NC 4A92.35L5-18 0.000  
4/23SOUTHWEST GUILFORD (6-10)NC 3A/2A75.4W12- 7 0.200  
4/26at Durham Riverside (11-8)NC 4A88.0L1-15 0.000  
5/01at Durham Jordan (11-9)NC 4A86.3L4-14 -0.025  
5/03CHAPEL HILL (22-4)NC 4A95.21L8-16 0.000  
 84.6     -0.20  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/28HHillsborough Orange10-15-5   5       –––-0.74       -10.44
3/05HEastern Guilford18-315   10       ++-0.74       5.24
3/12HCedar Ridge6-11-5   -1       –-0.74       -3.55
3/19AHillsborough Orange12-66   4       +0.74       2.04
3/21ACary Academy10-91   -1       +1.20       2.07
3/23HAthens Drive7-61   0       -0.74       1.49
3/26ACedar Ridge9-11-2   -3       0.74       0.92
3/28HEast Chapel Hill4-19-15   -12       –-0.74       -3.48
3/30HDurham Riverside4-14-10   -9       -0.74       -0.66
4/02HWestern Alamance8-9-1   -2       -0.74       1.27
4/04HDurham Jordan7-14-7   -8       -0.74       0.57
4/17AChapel Hill3-18-15   -16       0.74       1.06
4/20AEast Chapel Hill5-18-13   -13       0.74       0.00
4/23HSouthWest Guilford12-75   2       +-0.74       3.09
4/26ADurham Riverside1-15-14   -11       –0.74       -3.19
5/01ADurham Jordan4-14-10   -9       0.74       -0.95
5/03HChapel Hill8-16-8   -15       +++-0.74       6.59
         0.002.07

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/05HEastern Guilford18-3-5.24
3/28HEast Chapel Hill4-193.48
3/30HDurham Riverside4-140.00
4/17AChapel Hill3-18-1.06
4/20AEast Chapel Hill5-180.00
4/26ADurham Riverside1-153.19
5/01ADurham Jordan4-140.00
10-goal correction: 0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 78.   Natl CCR Rank 1967
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 76.52   Natl Power Rank 1967
Natl SOS Rating 78.74   Natl SOS Rank 1023
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.20   Natl Quality Win Rank 1756
W-L Pct Rating 0.29   W-L Pct Rank 2008
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 5-12   Ave Goal diff (all ) -4.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -12.8
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -12.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -11.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -10.7



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