High School Computer Ratings

Nease Panthers (15-8)

Region: FL 3B Centrl

State: FL

Coach: Jack Francis

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/14	at Matanzas (18-6)	FL 3B Centrl	88.1	9	L	9-	10	2ot	-0.350
2/16	OAK HALL-GAINESVILLE (3-9)	FL 1B Centrl	75.9		W	17-	1		0.000
2/17	MACLAY (11-6)	FL 1B Centrl	85.8		W	14-	4		0.000
2/19	at Saint Andrews (22-4)	FL Dist-3	96.0		L	8-	15		-0.125
2/22	at Bartram Trail (4-9)	FL 2B Centrl	77.4		W	22-	2		0.000
2/24	OVIEDO (10-8)	FL 5B Centrl	86.6		W	14-	6		0.025
2/28	BISHOP MOORE (11-8)	FL 7B Centrl	90.0	8	W	14-	12		0.125
3/03	at Bolles (14-3)	FL 2B Centrl	91.1	7	L	7-	9		-0.300
3/06	vs. Lake Brantley # (18-4)	FL 4B Centrl	94.3	1	W	13-	9		0.275
3/08	FLAGLER PALM COAST (6-8)	FL 3B Centrl	81.5		W	15-	4		0.000
3/10	at Menendez (3-9)	FL 3B Centrl	77.3		W	21-	1		0.000
3/13	WINTER PARK (19-6)	FL 6B Centrl	93.5	3	L	5-	12		-0.250
3/15	EPISCOPAL JACKSONVILLE (11-8)	FL 2B Centrl	86.1		W	11-	2		0.025
3/21	CHRISTIAN BROS (18-6)	MO Centrl	95.8		W	8-	5		0.300
3/27	vs. Poly Prep # (10-9)	NY Ivy	85.7		W	7-	0		0.100
3/29	at Winter Springs (12-3)	FL 5B Centrl	93.8	2	L	3-	10		-0.150
3/31	vs. Gulliver Prep # (13-8)	FL Dist-1	89.5		L	8-	10		-0.300
4/03	vs. McIntosh # (14-5)	GA Area01	92.2		W	13-	11		0.250
4/04	vs. Hayfield # (14-2)	VA Patriot	93.5		L	6-	7		-0.200
4/11	FLAGLER PALM COAST (6-8)	FL 3B Centrl	81.5		W	18-	1		0.000
4/13	at Matanzas (18-6)	FL 3B Centrl	88.1	9	W	14-	2		0.150
4/17	vs. Bolles # (14-3)	FL 2B Centrl	91.1	7	W	19-	9		0.150
4/20	vs. Lake Brantley # (18-4)	FL 4B Centrl	94.3	1	L	10-	11		-0.225
# Neutral site			86.7						-0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/14	A	Matanzas	9-	10	-1	4	––	1.59	-5.38
2/16	H	Oak Hall-Gainesville	17-	1	16	21	––	-1.59	-4.63
2/17	H	Maclay	14-	4	10	10		-1.59	0.42
2/19	A	Saint Andrews	8-	15	-7	-5		1.23		-1.73
2/22	A	Bartram Trail	22-	2	20	16	+	1.59	3.65
2/24	H	Oviedo	14-	6	8	9		-1.59	-0.55
2/28	H	Bishop Moore	14-	12	2	5	–	-1.59	-2.74
3/03	A	Bolles	7-	9	-2	2	–	1.59	-3.97
3/06	N	Lake Brantley	13-	9	4	-1	++	0.00	5.44
3/08	H	Flagler Palm Coast	15-	4	11	14	–	-1.59	-3.21
3/10	A	Menendez	21-	1	20	16	+	1.59	3.83
3/13	H	Winter Park	5-	12	-7	0	–––	-1.59	-6.81
3/15	H	Episcopal Jacksonville	11-	2	9	9		-1.59	-0.09
3/21	H	Christian Bros	8-	5	3	-2	++	-2.03		4.85
3/27	N	Poly Prep	7-	0	7	6		0.00		0.73
3/29	A	Winter Springs	3-	10	-7	-4	–	1.59	-3.24
3/31	N	Gulliver Prep	8-	10	-2	2	––	0.00		-4.42
4/03	N	McIntosh	13-	11	2	0	+	0.00		2.21
4/04	N	Hayfield	6-	7	-1	-2		0.00		0.54
4/11	H	Flagler Palm Coast	18-	1	17	14	+	-1.59	2.79
4/13	A	Matanzas	14-	2	12	4	+++	1.59	7.62
4/17	N	Bolles	19-	9	10	4	+++	0.00	6.44
4/20	N	Lake Brantley	10-	11	-1	-1		0.00	0.44
									0.00	2.17