| Conference: Bay State | Region: MA 1 | State: MA | Coach: Dave Wainwright |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/30 | WEYMOUTH (15-5) | MA 1 | 91.2 | | W | 13- | 7 | | 0.125 |
4/09 | DEDHAM (0-16) | MA 3 | 75.2 | | W | 16- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/12 | at Brookline (3-17) | MA 1 | 82.4 | | W | 11- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/13 | at Mansfield (17-4) | MA 2 | 92.7 | | L | 11- | 12 | ot | -0.250 |
4/17 | at Duxbury (18-4) | MA 1 | 96.6 | 3 | L | 4- | 10 | | -0.125 |
4/19 | at Hingham (11-10) | MA 2 | 90.8 | | L | 8- | 9 | | -0.300 |
4/23 | at Wellesley (18-5) | MA 2 | 93.4 | 8 | W | 4- | 3 | ot | 0.250 |
4/25 | FRAMINGHAM (7-10) | MA 1 | 87.5 | | W | 12- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/27 | NATICK (10-11) | MA 2 | 87.8 | | W | 14- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/28 | at Xaverian Bros (22-1) | MA 1 | 97.6 | 1 | L | 6- | 14 | | -0.125 |
5/01 | NEWTON NORTH (6-13) | MA 1 | 86.7 | | W | 15- | 5 | | 0.025 |
5/04 | at Weymouth (15-5) | MA 1 | 91.2 | | W | 14- | 2 | | 0.175 |
5/07 | at Braintree (8-10) | MA 1 | 88.2 | | W | 8- | 4 | | 0.100 |
5/09 | at Walpole (16-5) | MA 2 | 92.3 | | W | 6- | 4 | | 0.250 |
5/11 | BROOKLINE (3-17) | MA 1 | 82.4 | | W | 15- | 0 | | 0.000 |
5/15 | MILTON (7-13) | MA 2 | 86.6 | | W | 13- | 5 | | 0.000 |
5/17 | BRAINTREE (8-10) | MA 1 | 88.2 | | W | 14- | 2 | | 0.025 |
5/18 | at Framingham (7-10) | MA 1 | 87.5 | | W | 15- | 6 | | 0.075 |
5/21 | at Norwood (7-13) | MA 2 | 85.9 | | W | 14- | 4 | | 0.025 |
5/23 | at Newton North (6-13) | MA 1 | 86.7 | | W | 14- | 4 | | 0.075 |
5/29 | DARTMOUTH (11-6) | MA 1 | 86.9 | | W | 16- | 2 | | 0.000 |
6/02 | at Beverly (17-5) | MA 1 | 93.3 | 9 | L | 7- | 10 | | -0.250 |
| | 87.3 | | | | | | 0.07 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/30 | H | Weymouth | 13- | 7 | 6 | 5 | | -1.16 | 0.94 | |
4/09 | H | Dedham | 16- | 2 | 14 | 20 | –– | -1.16 | -5.61 | |
4/12 | A | Brookline | 11- | 3 | 8 | 12 | – | 1.16 | -3.72 | |
4/13 | A | Mansfield | 11- | 12 | -1 | 0 | | 1.16 | -0.85 | |
4/17 | A | Duxbury | 4- | 10 | -6 | -5 | | 1.16 | -1.15 | |
4/19 | A | Hingham | 8- | 9 | -1 | 2 | – | 1.16 | -2.76 | |
4/23 | A | Wellesley | 4- | 3 | 1 | 0 | | 1.16 | 1.41 | |
4/25 | H | Framingham | 12- | 3 | 9 | 10 | | -1.16 | -0.81 | |
4/27 | H | Natick | 14- | 3 | 11 | 11 | | -1.16 | 0.39 | |
4/28 | A | Xaverian Bros | 6- | 14 | -8 | -5 | – | 1.16 | -3.20 | |
5/01 | H | Newton North | 15- | 5 | 10 | 9 | | -1.16 | 0.63 | |
5/04 | A | Weymouth | 14- | 2 | 12 | 3 | +++ | 1.16 | 9.25 | |
5/07 | A | Braintree | 8- | 4 | 4 | 6 | – | 1.16 | -2.28 | |
5/09 | A | Walpole | 6- | 4 | 2 | 0 | + | 1.16 | 2.23 | |
5/11 | H | Brookline | 15- | 0 | 15 | 14 | | -1.16 | 0.96 | |
5/15 | H | Milton | 13- | 5 | 8 | 11 | – | -1.16 | -2.89 | |
5/17 | H | Braintree | 14- | 2 | 12 | 9 | + | -1.16 | 3.41 | |
5/18 | A | Framingham | 15- | 6 | 9 | 7 | | 1.16 | 1.51 | |
5/21 | A | Norwood | 14- | 4 | 10 | 9 | | 1.16 | 1.44 | |
5/23 | A | Newton North | 14- | 4 | 10 | 7 | + | 1.16 | 2.95 | |
5/29 | H | Dartmouth | 16- | 2 | 14 | 13 | | -1.16 | 0.97 | |
6/02 | A | Beverly | 7- | 10 | -3 | 0 | – | 1.16 | -2.81 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/09 | H | Dedham | 16- | 2 | 5.61 |
4/27 | H | Natick | 14- | 3 | -0.39 |
5/01 | H | Newton North | 15- | 5 | 0.00 |
5/04 | A | Weymouth | 14- | 2 | -2.00 |
5/11 | H | Brookline | 15- | 0 | -0.96 |
5/17 | H | Braintree | 14- | 2 | -2.00 |
5/21 | A | Norwood | 14- | 4 | 0.00 |
5/23 | A | Newton North | 14- | 4 | 0.00 |
5/29 | H | Dartmouth | 16- | 2 | -0.97 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.03 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 94. | | Natl CCR Rank | 260 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 93.28 | | Natl Power Rank | 260 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 83.85 | | Natl SOS Rank | 489 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.07 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1148 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.77 | | W-L Pct Rank | 332 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 17-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -7.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -4.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -2.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 7.0 |
|
