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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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New Fairfield Rebels (16-5)

Conference: SWCIACRegion: CT SState: CTCoach: Marty Morgan

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
4/05POMPERAUG-SOUTHBURY (7-10)CT M85.0W16- 1 0.000  
4/07TRUMBULL (10-9)CT L91.1W12- 7 0.050  
4/10MASUK-MONROE (8-9)CT M87.7W20- 9 0.025  
4/14FARMINGTON (9-9)CT M86.0W17- 4 0.000  
4/19at Avon HS (12-8)CT S89.1W17- 9 0.100  
4/20at Notre Dame-Fairfield (3-13)CT S81.0W15- 2 0.000  
4/24at New Milford (18-4)CT L95.97W11- 9 0.300  
4/26IMMACULATE DANBURY (1-13)CT S79.2W14- 1 0.000  
4/28at Branford (19-4)CT M96.55L13-16 -0.175  
5/01at Weston (18-3)CT S96.94L11-16 -0.200  
5/03at Brookfield (6-11)CT M85.3W20- 8 0.000  
5/08NEWTOWN (5-11)CT L87.6W15- 7 0.000  
5/10RIDGEFIELD (8-10)CT L93.3W9- 6 0.175  
5/12at Amity Regional (14-5)CT L94.6W21-11 0.225  
5/15at Barlow-Redding (16-6)CT S95.3L13-16 -0.225  
5/19at Housatonic Valley (7-10)CT S81.0W19- 1 0.000  
5/23NEWTOWN (5-11)CT L87.6W10- 5 0.000  
5/25at Barlow-Redding (16-6)CT S95.3L12-14 -0.225  
6/02HOUSATONIC VALLEY (7-10)CT S81.0W22- 4 0.000  
6/06NORTHWEST CATHOLIC (14-5)CT S90.6W14- 3 0.025  
6/07vs. Weston # (18-3)CT S96.94L8-11 -0.250  
# Neutral site 86.8     -0.17  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/05HPomperaug-Southbury16-115   13       -1.70       1.81
4/07HTrumbull12-75   8       –-1.70       -3.16
4/10HMasuk-Monroe20-911   9       -1.70       1.89
4/14HFarmington17-413   13       -1.70       -0.16
4/19AAvon HS17-98   6       1.70       1.84
4/20ANotre Dame-Fairfield15-213   12       1.70       0.63
4/24ANew Milford11-92   -2       ++1.70       4.25
4/26HImmaculate Danbury14-113   17       ––-1.70       -4.41
4/28ABranford13-16-3   -3       1.70       -0.28
5/01AWeston11-16-5   -2       –1.70       -3.32
5/03ABrookfield20-812   10       1.70       1.51
5/08HNewtown15-78   10       -1.70       -1.58
5/10HRidgefield9-63   3       -1.70       0.29
5/12AAmity Regional21-1110   1       +++1.70       8.80
5/15ABarlow-Redding13-16-3   -1       –1.70       -2.36
5/19AHousatonic Valley19-118   16       +1.70       2.28
5/23HNewtown10-55   10       ––-1.70       -4.58
5/25ABarlow-Redding12-14-2   -1       1.70       -1.36
6/02HHousatonic Valley22-418   19       -1.70       -1.11
6/06HNorthwest Catholic14-311   9       +-1.70       2.02
6/07NWeston8-11-3   0       –0.00       -3.02
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/05HPomperaug-Southbury16-1-1.81
4/10HMasuk-Monroe20-9-1.00
4/14HFarmington17-40.16
4/20ANotre Dame-Fairfield15-2-0.63
4/26HImmaculate Danbury14-14.41
5/03ABrookfield20-8-1.51
5/12AAmity Regional21-110.00
5/19AHousatonic Valley19-1-2.28
6/02HHousatonic Valley22-41.11
6/06HNorthwest Catholic14-3-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.12

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 96.   Natl CCR Rank 137
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 95.47   Natl Power Rank 137
Natl SOS Rating 83.35   Natl SOS Rank 529
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.17   Natl Quality Win Rank 1637
W-L Pct Rating 0.76   W-L Pct Rank 372
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 16-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 7.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -4.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -2.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 3-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -0.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 8.7

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