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Norwich Free Academy Wildcats (10-7)

Conference: ECIAC

Region: CT L

State: CT

Coach: Scott Hicks

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/07	at Guilford (11-8)	CT M	91.5		L	5-	12		0.000
4/09	at Saint Bernard (5-11)	CT S	73.4		W	14-	3		0.000
4/10	at Ellington (7-10)	CT S	81.0		W	13-	7		0.225
4/13	at Windsor (4-12)	CT M	82.7		W	7-	5		0.275
4/18	NORTH HAVEN (7-9)	CT M	85.4		L	4-	13		-0.250
4/20	NORTH KINGSTOWN (10-8)	RI Div-1	92.7		W	11-	6		0.375
4/25	at Woodstock Academy (2-14)	CT M	72.9		W	15-	7		0.050
4/27	WHEELER-NO STONINGTON (3-13)	CT S	70.2		W	8-	2		0.000
5/01	at Stonington (6-12)	CT S	79.1		W	9-	6		0.200
5/02	at Old Lyme (12-3)	CT S	88.1		W	16-	9		0.375
5/04	AVON HS (12-8)	CT S	89.1		W	8-	7		0.325
5/07	EAST LYME (16-4)	CT M	94.3		L	6-	19		-0.050
5/10	SUFFIELD HS (12-6)	CT S	87.5		L	14-	18		-0.225
5/14	LEDYARD (9-6)	CT M	85.0		L	9-	10		-0.300
5/19	FITCH-GROTON (5-11)	CT M	82.0		L	5-	8		-0.325
5/24	MORGAN-CLINTON (10-6)	CT S	87.3		W	16-	13		0.275
6/02	at Glastonbury (12-8)	CT L	94.2		L	1-	14		0.000
			81.5						0.95

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	A	Guilford	5-	12	-7	-11	+	1.70	3.82
4/09	A	Saint Bernard	14-	3	11	10		1.70	1.30
4/10	A	Ellington	13-	7	6	1	++	1.70	4.88
4/13	A	Windsor	7-	5	2	-1	+	1.70	3.22
4/18	H	North Haven	4-	13	-9	0	–––	-1.70	-9.30
4/20	H	North Kingstown	11-	6	5	-5	+++	-1.47		10.16
4/25	A	Woodstock Academy	15-	7	8	8		1.70	-0.27
4/27	H	Wheeler-No Stonington	8-	2	6	14	–––	-1.70	-7.97
5/01	A	Stonington	9-	6	3	2		1.70	0.67
5/02	A	Old Lyme	16-	9	7	-5	+++	1.70	12.00
5/04	H	Avon HS	8-	7	1	-3	++	-1.70	4.47
5/07	H	East Lyme	6-	19	-13	-8	––	-1.70	-4.66
5/10	H	Suffield HS	14-	18	-4	-1	–	-1.70	-2.98
5/14	H	Ledyard	9-	10	-1	2	–	-1.70	-2.59
5/19	H	Fitch-Groton	5-	8	-3	3	––	-1.70	-5.97
5/24	H	Morgan-Clinton	16-	13	3	-1	+	-1.70	3.83
6/02	A	Glastonbury	1-	14	-13	-13		1.70	-0.44
									0.00	10.16

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/09	A	Saint Bernard	14-	3	-1.30
5/07	H	East Lyme	6-	19	3.00
6/02	A	Glastonbury	1-	14	0.44
10-goal correction: 0.13

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	1233
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.05		Natl Power Rank	1233
Natl SOS Rating	73.02		Natl SOS Rank	1582
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.95		Natl Quality Win Rank	269
W-L Pct Rating	0.59		W-L Pct Rank	926
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.3


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