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Newburgh Free Academy Goldbacks (4-12)

Region: NY A Sec 9

State: NY

Coach: Lee Cobb

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/07	vs. White Plains # (10-9)	NY A Sec 1	85.3		L	1-	12		0.000
4/11	VALLEY CENTRAL (11-8)	NY A Sec 9	80.9	5	L	4-	16		-0.075
4/13	at Saugerties (11-8)	NY B Sec 9	77.7	7	L	7-	8	ot	-0.075
4/17	at Kingston (12-7)	NY A Sec 9	83.6	4	L	1-	13		0.000
4/19	MONROE-WOODBURY (5-12)	NY A Sec 9	73.0	10	W	6-	3		0.225
4/24	at Pine Bush (17-2)	NY A Sec 9	91.0	1	L	3-	11		0.000
4/26	at Washingtonville (0-17)	NY A Sec 9	64.6		W	4-	3	2ot	0.200
4/27	ROOSEVELT YONKERS (5-11)	NY A Sec 1	78.1		W	5-	4	ot	0.375
5/01	RED HOOK (4-12)	NY C Sec 9	69.0		W	9-	6		0.175
5/03	KINGSTON (12-7)	NY A Sec 9	83.6	4	L	3-	15		-0.025
5/08	at Monroe-Woodbury (5-12)	NY A Sec 9	73.0	10	L	4-	9		-0.150
5/12	WARWICK VALLEY (12-6)	NY A Sec 9	80.5	6	L	2-	14		-0.125
5/15	MINISINK VALLEY (15-5)	NY A Sec 9	85.7	3	L	5-	12		-0.050
5/17	PINE BUSH (17-2)	NY A Sec 9	91.0	1	L	2-	13		0.000
5/19	at O'Neill (15-4)	NY C Sec 9	88.1	2	L	6-	18		0.000
5/22	ROOSEVELT HYDE PARK (9-10)	NY A Sec 9	75.7	8	L	5-	9		-0.225
# Neutral site			83.6						0.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	N	White Plains	1-	12	-11	-14	+	0.00		3.10
4/11	H	Valley Central	4-	16	-12	-7	––	-2.21	-5.28
4/13	A	Saugerties	7-	8	-1	-7	++	2.21	5.91
4/17	A	Kingston	1-	13	-12	-14		2.21	1.70
4/19	H	Monroe-Woodbury	6-	3	3	1	+	-2.21	2.35
4/24	A	Pine Bush	3-	11	-8	-15	+++	2.21	7.12
4/26	A	Washingtonville	4-	3	1	2		2.21	-1.35
4/27	H	Roosevelt Yonkers	5-	4	1	-5	+++	-1.69		6.22
5/01	H	Red Hook	9-	6	3	3		-2.21	0.34
5/03	H	Kingston	3-	15	-12	-9	–	-2.21	-2.72
5/08	A	Monroe-Woodbury	4-	9	-5	-4		2.21	-1.24
5/12	H	Warwick Valley	2-	14	-12	-5	–––	-2.21	-6.78
5/15	H	Minisink Valley	5-	12	-7	-8		-2.21	0.97
5/17	H	Pine Bush	2-	13	-11	-11		-2.21	-0.29
5/19	A	O'Neill	6-	18	-12	-14	+	2.21	2.03
5/22	H	Roosevelt Hyde Park	5-	9	-4	-1	–	-2.21	-2.77
									0.00	9.32

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/07	N	White Plains	1-	12	-3.10
4/11	H	Valley Central	4-	16	2.00
4/17	A	Kingston	1-	13	-1.70
5/03	H	Kingston	3-	15	2.00
5/12	H	Warwick Valley	2-	14	2.00
5/17	H	Pine Bush	2-	13	0.29
5/19	A	O'Neill	6-	18	-2.03
10-goal correction: -0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	72.		Natl CCR Rank	2359
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	71.20		Natl Power Rank	2359
Natl SOS Rating	76.99		Natl SOS Rank	1184
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.25		Natl Quality Win Rank	849
W-L Pct Rating	0.25		W-L Pct Rank	2122
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.6
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-11		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-11		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.0


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