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Niagara Wheatfield Falcons (16-3)

Region: NY A Sec 6State: NYCoach: Vince Shiffert

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/24at Amherst (10-10)NY B Sec 688.79W11-10 0.150  
3/30vs. Christian Bros # (21-2)NY C Sec 398.4L8-17 -0.200  
3/31vs. South Jefferson # (10-8)NY C Sec 392.8W16-15 0.175  
4/19at Lancaster (7-9)NY A Sec 684.8W14- 5 0.050  
4/21at Gowanda (7-13)NY C Sec 679.3W19- 2 0.000  
4/23CLARENCE (11-8)NY A Sec 687.0W16- 3 0.000  
4/25FRONTIER (14-5)NY A Sec 693.54W11- 4 0.125  
4/27at Williamsville North (11-8)NY A Sec 690.08W17- 9 0.125  
5/01at Jamestown (2-14)NY A Sec 672.1W19- 3 0.000  
5/02LOCKPORT (6-12)NY A Sec 678.2W19- 3 0.000  
5/07ORCHARD PARK (16-5)NY A Sec 697.31L9-10ot-0.250  
5/09NORTH TONAWANDA (0-14)NY A Sec 669.8W22- 0 0.000  
5/11at Hamburg (17-4)NY B Sec 693.93W19- 7 0.175  
5/12NICHOLS (3-15)NY P Sec 679.7W14- 0 0.000  
5/16at West Seneca West (6-11)NY A Sec 682.3W21- 7 0.000  
5/19GRAND ISLAND (7-10)NY B Sec 683.9W20-12 0.000  
5/21TIMON ST JUDE (9-10)NY P Sec 687.5W15- 8 0.000  
5/25WEST SENECA WEST (6-11)NY A Sec 682.3W20- 5 0.000  
5/30FRONTIER (14-5)NY A Sec 693.54L13-14ot-0.375  
# Neutral site 86.2     -0.02  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/24AAmherst11-101   4       –1.39       -2.91
3/30NChristian Bros8-17-9   -2       –––0.00       -6.86
3/31NSouth Jefferson16-151   3       –0.00       -2.48
4/19ALancaster14-59   8       1.39       0.64
4/21AGowanda19-217   14       +1.39       3.30
4/23HClarence16-313   10       +-1.39       2.81
4/25HFrontier11-47   5       -1.39       1.96
4/27AWilliamsville North17-98   5       +1.39       3.12
5/01AJamestown19-316   21       ––1.39       -5.09
5/02HLockport19-316   17       -1.39       -0.84
5/07HOrchard Park9-10-1   0       -1.39       -0.98
5/09HNorth Tonawanda22-022   27       ––-1.39       -4.78
5/11AHamburg19-712   3       +++1.39       9.18
5/12HNichols14-014   14       -1.39       -0.46
5/16AWest Seneca West21-714   10       +1.39       3.75
5/19HGrand Island20-128   11       –-1.39       -3.10
5/21HTimon St Jude15-87   10       –-1.39       -2.51
5/25HWest Seneca West20-515   13       -1.39       1.96
5/30HFrontier13-14-1   5       –––-1.39       -6.04
         0.00-9.34

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/21AGowanda19-2-3.30
4/23HClarence16-3-2.81
5/01AJamestown19-35.09
5/02HLockport19-30.84
5/09HNorth Tonawanda22-04.78
5/11AHamburg19-7-2.00
5/12HNichols14-00.46
5/16AWest Seneca West21-7-3.75
5/25HWest Seneca West20-5-1.96
10-goal correction: -0.14

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 97.   Natl CCR Rank 87
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 96.28   Natl Power Rank 85
Natl SOS Rating 82.19   Natl SOS Rank 645
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.02   Natl Quality Win Rank 1448
W-L Pct Rating 0.84   W-L Pct Rank 165
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 16-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 8.9
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 4.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 5-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 4.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 8-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 6.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 7.0



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