| Region: NY A Sec 2 | State: NY | Coach: Mike Vorgang |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
4/03 | vs. Guilderland # (16-5) | NY A Sec 2 | 96.0 | 2 | W | 14- | 2 | | 0.175 |
4/05 | vs. Shenendehowa # (9-10) | NY A Sec 2 | 90.4 | 5 | W | 9- | 2 | | 0.100 |
4/09 | at Ballston Spa (6-11) | NY A Sec 2 | 85.0 | | W | 12- | 3 | | 0.025 |
4/11 | SARATOGA SPGS (10-10) | NY A Sec 2 | 89.5 | 7 | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.050 |
4/13 | vs. Shaker # (9-11) | NY A Sec 2 | 88.9 | 8 | W | 9- | 4 | | 0.075 |
4/14 | DUXBURY (18-4) | MA 1 | 96.6 | | W | 10- | 4 | | 0.200 |
4/17 | COLUMBIA (15-5) | NY A Sec 2 | 92.1 | 3 | W | 12- | 4 | | 0.050 |
4/21 | at John Jay-Cross River (21-3) | NY B Sec 1 | 99.1 | | L | 3- | 9 | | -0.200 |
4/24 | at Guilderland (16-5) | NY A Sec 2 | 96.0 | 2 | L | 5- | 6 | | -0.325 |
4/26 | at Burnt Hills (2-18) | NY B Sec 2 | 74.7 | | W | 16- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/01 | SHENENDEHOWA (9-10) | NY A Sec 2 | 90.4 | 5 | W | 13- | 5 | | 0.075 |
5/05 | at Saratoga Spgs (10-10) | NY A Sec 2 | 89.5 | 7 | W | 15- | 4 | | 0.075 |
5/08 | BETHLEHEM (13-7) | NY A Sec 2 | 91.0 | 4 | L | 3- | 4 | | -0.450 |
5/11 | at Colonie (10-8) | NY A Sec 2 | 88.5 | 9 | W | 15- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/12 | HENDRICK HUDSON (10-9) | NY B Sec 1 | 93.3 | | W | 6- | 4 | | 0.125 |
5/15 | SHAKER (9-11) | NY A Sec 2 | 88.9 | 8 | W | 13- | 4 | | 0.075 |
5/17 | at Christian Bros (14-6) | NY A Sec 2 | 90.4 | 6 | W | 13- | 5 | | 0.050 |
5/25 | SHAKER (9-11) | NY A Sec 2 | 88.9 | 8 | W | 13- | 5 | | 0.075 |
5/29 | vs. Shenendehowa # (9-10) | NY A Sec 2 | 90.4 | 5 | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.100 |
6/01 | vs. Guilderland # (16-5) | NY A Sec 2 | 96.0 | 2 | W | 11- | 9 | | 0.175 |
6/05 | vs. Yorktown # (12-10) | NY A Sec 1 | 94.7 | | L | 5- | 6 | | -0.325 |
| # Neutral site | | 91.3 | | | | | | 0.13 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/03 | N | Guilderland | 14- | 2 | 12 | 3 | +++ | 0.00 | 9.06 | |
4/05 | N | Shenendehowa | 9- | 2 | 7 | 6 | | 0.00 | 0.65 | |
4/09 | A | Ballston Spa | 12- | 3 | 9 | 9 | | 0.40 | -0.17 | |
4/11 | H | Saratoga Spgs | 12- | 6 | 6 | 8 | | -0.40 | -1.99 | |
4/13 | N | Shaker | 9- | 4 | 5 | 7 | | 0.00 | -1.89 | |
4/14 | H | Duxbury | 10- | 4 | 6 | 2 | + | -0.78 | | 3.85 |
4/17 | H | Columbia | 12- | 4 | 8 | 8 | | -0.40 | 0.41 | |
4/21 | A | John Jay-Cross River | 3- | 9 | -6 | -2 | –– | 0.79 | | -4.09 |
4/24 | A | Guilderland | 5- | 6 | -1 | 3 | – | 0.40 | -3.54 | |
4/26 | A | Burnt Hills | 16- | 1 | 15 | 19 | –– | 0.40 | -4.18 | |
5/01 | H | Shenendehowa | 13- | 5 | 8 | 7 | | -0.40 | 1.25 | |
5/05 | A | Saratoga Spgs | 15- | 4 | 11 | 7 | + | 0.40 | 3.81 | |
5/08 | H | Bethlehem | 3- | 4 | -1 | 8 | ––– | -0.40 | -9.24 | |
5/11 | A | Colonie | 15- | 1 | 14 | 10 | ++ | 0.40 | 4.40 | |
5/12 | H | Hendrick Hudson | 6- | 4 | 2 | 5 | – | -0.79 | | -3.49 |
5/15 | H | Shaker | 13- | 4 | 9 | 7 | | -0.40 | 1.71 | |
5/17 | A | Christian Bros | 13- | 5 | 8 | 8 | | 0.40 | 0.30 | |
5/25 | H | Shaker | 13- | 5 | 8 | 7 | | -0.40 | 0.71 | |
5/29 | N | Shenendehowa | 12- | 6 | 6 | 6 | | 0.00 | -0.35 | |
6/01 | N | Guilderland | 11- | 9 | 2 | 3 | | 0.00 | -0.94 | |
6/05 | N | Yorktown | 5- | 6 | -1 | 3 | –– | 0.00 | | -4.35 |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -8.09 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/03 | N | Guilderland | 14- | 2 | -2.00 |
4/26 | A | Burnt Hills | 16- | 1 | 4.18 |
5/05 | A | Saratoga Spgs | 15- | 4 | -1.00 |
5/11 | A | Colonie | 15- | 1 | -4.40 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.15 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 98. | | Natl CCR Rank | 53 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 98.00 | | Natl Power Rank | 40 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 92.03 | | Natl SOS Rank | 74 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.13 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1119 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.81 | | W-L Pct Rank | 242 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 17-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 6-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 5.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 14-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 6.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 15-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 7.4 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 2.3 |
| 
