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North Brunswick Raiders (11-8)

Conference: GMC

Region: NJ Grp-III

State: NJ

Coach: Brad Kerwin

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	at Jackson Memorial (7-7)	NJ Grp-IV	85.7		L	5-	6		-0.300
4/07	at East Brunswick (4-9)	NJ Grp-IV	84.7		W	13-	3		0.250
4/10	at Edison (3-13)	NJ Grp-IV	76.2		W	14-	4		0.075
4/14	at South Brunswick (18-2)	NJ Grp-IV	94.3		L	5-	12		-0.050
4/18	at St Joseph Metuchen (12-8)	NJ Grp-A	91.3		L	6-	12		-0.125
4/19	J.P. STEVENS (2-17)	NJ Grp-IV	66.5		W	16-	3		0.000
4/21	SOUTH BRUNSWICK (18-2)	NJ Grp-IV	94.3		L	5-	18		-0.100
4/23	RUTGERS PREP (13-4)	NJ Private	88.1		L	3-	4		-0.325
4/26	at East Brunswick (4-9)	NJ Grp-IV	84.7		W	7-	6		0.250
5/01	EDISON (3-13)	NJ Grp-IV	76.2		W	15-	5		0.025
5/03	at Old Bridge (11-8)	NJ Grp-IV	88.2		W	10-	3		0.250
5/04	CRANFORD (15-6)	NJ Grp-II	89.7		W	7-	4		0.275
5/08	ST JOSEPH METUCHEN (12-8)	NJ Grp-A	91.3		L	5-	14		-0.175
5/09	OLD BRIDGE (11-8)	NJ Grp-IV	88.2		W	8-	7		0.200
5/12	EDISON (3-13)	NJ Grp-IV	76.2		W	12-	8		0.025
5/14	at St Joseph Metuchen (12-8)	NJ Grp-A	91.3		L	7-	13		-0.125
5/17	J.P. STEVENS (2-17)	NJ Grp-IV	66.5		W	13-	3		0.000
5/21	MAINLAND REGIONAL (13-5)	NJ Grp-III	83.7		W	15-	5		0.050
5/23	at Ridgewood (17-5)	NJ Grp-III	95.8	8	L	3-	13		0.000
			81.3						0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	A	Jackson Memorial	5-	6	-1	2	–	1.02	-3.40
4/07	A	East Brunswick	13-	3	10	0	+++	1.02	10.12
4/10	A	Edison	14-	4	10	7	+	1.02	3.19
4/14	A	South Brunswick	5-	12	-7	-8		1.02	1.42
4/18	A	St Joseph Metuchen	6-	12	-6	-5		1.02	-0.65
4/19	H	J.P. Stevens	16-	3	13	14		-1.02	-0.79
4/21	H	South Brunswick	5-	18	-13	-6	–––	-1.02	-6.62
4/23	H	Rutgers Prep	3-	4	-1	3	–	-1.02	-3.67
4/26	A	East Brunswick	7-	6	1	0		1.02	1.12
5/01	H	Edison	15-	5	10	9		-1.02	1.15
5/03	A	Old Bridge	10-	3	7	0	+++	1.02	7.37
5/04	H	Cranford	7-	4	3	-1	+	-1.02	3.73
5/08	H	St Joseph Metuchen	5-	14	-9	-3	––	-1.02	-5.70
5/09	H	Old Bridge	8-	7	1	2		-1.02	-0.67
5/12	H	Edison	12-	8	4	9	––	-1.02	-4.85
5/14	A	St Joseph Metuchen	7-	13	-6	-5		1.02	-0.65
5/17	H	J.P. Stevens	13-	3	10	14	–	-1.02	-3.79
5/21	H	Mainland Regional	15-	5	10	8		-1.02	1.63
5/23	A	Ridgewood	3-	13	-10	-11		1.02	1.05
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/07	A	East Brunswick	13-	3	0.00
4/10	A	Edison	14-	4	0.00
4/19	H	J.P. Stevens	16-	3	0.79
4/21	H	South Brunswick	5-	18	3.00
5/01	H	Edison	15-	5	0.00
5/17	H	J.P. Stevens	13-	3	3.79
5/21	H	Mainland Regional	15-	5	0.00
5/23	A	Ridgewood	3-	13	-1.05
10-goal correction: 0.34

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	792
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.50		Natl Power Rank	792
Natl SOS Rating	72.52		Natl SOS Rank	1641
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	933
W-L Pct Rating	0.58		W-L Pct Rank	978
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.3


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