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Norfolk Collegiate Oaks (4-9)

Region: VA 2 Tidewtr

State: VA

Coach: Bryan Smith

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/20	BENEDICTINE (6-10)	VA 2 Privte	82.6		L	6-	10		-0.250
3/22	HAMPTON ROADS ACADEMY (0-13)	VA 2 Tidewtr	74.8		W	7-	2		0.150
3/30	at Hampton Roads Academy (0-13)	VA 2 Tidewtr	74.8		W	9-	5		0.175
4/05	CATHOLIC-SULLIVAN (12-7)	VA 2 Tidewtr	87.3	6	L	6-	10		-0.150
4/10	CAPE HENRY COLLEGIATE (15-7)	VA 1 Tidewtr	90.0		L	4-	16		0.000
4/12	LOUISVILLE ST XAVIER (15-7)	KY Div-1	89.3		L	7-	13		-0.050
4/17	at Steward (2-11)	VA 2 Privte	75.8		W	10-	5		0.125
4/19	NORFOLK ACADEMY (22-2)	VA 1 Tidewtr	96.1		L	3-	15		0.000
4/24	at Walsingham Academy (7-7)	VA 2 Privte	87.5	5	L	3-	8		-0.100
4/27	NANSEMOND-SUFFOLK ACAD (8-7)	VA 2 Tidewtr	86.4	7	L	7-	8	ot	-0.175
4/28	MAURY LC (12-6)	VA Beach	68.4		W	7-	3		0.000
5/01	WILLIAMSBURG LC (10-5)	VA Indep	87.6		L	12-	14		-0.075
5/08	at Walsingham Academy (7-7)	VA 2 Privte	87.5	5	L	5-	12		-0.100
			84.5						-0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	H	Benedictine	6-	10	-4	0	–	-0.37	-3.71
3/22	H	Hampton Roads Academy	7-	2	5	4		-0.37	1.26
3/30	A	Hampton Roads Academy	9-	5	4	3		0.37	0.99
4/05	H	Catholic-Sullivan	6-	10	-4	-4		-0.37	-0.47
4/10	H	Cape Henry Collegiate	4-	16	-12	-10	–	-0.44		-2.31
4/12	H	Louisville St Xavier	7-	13	-6	-8	+	-1.09		2.33
4/17	A	Steward	10-	5	5	5		0.37	0.41
4/19	H	Norfolk Academy	3-	15	-12	-16	+	-0.44		3.71
4/24	A	Walsingham Academy	3-	8	-5	-6		0.37	0.73
4/27	H	Nansemond-Suffolk Acad	7-	8	-1	-3	+	-0.37	2.06
4/28	H	Maury LC	7-	3	4	12	–––	-0.62		-8.14
5/01	H	Williamsburg LC	12-	14	-2	-7	++	-0.62		5.13
5/08	A	Walsingham Academy	5-	12	-7	-6		0.37	-1.27
									0.00	0.72

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	H	Cape Henry Collegiate	4-	16	2.00
4/19	H	Norfolk Academy	3-	15	-3.71
10-goal correction: -0.13

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	80.		Natl CCR Rank	1762
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	79.90		Natl Power Rank	1762
Natl SOS Rating	78.69		Natl SOS Rank	1025
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	2114
W-L Pct Rating	0.31		W-L Pct Rank	1975
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.7


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