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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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Novato Hornets (11-8)

Conference: D1Region: CA MarinState: CACoach: Michael Pardi

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
2/27UNIVERSITY SF (17-5)CA BayArea92.88L8-12 -0.200  
3/02at Miramonte (13-7)CA DFAL91.510W4- 32ot0.300  
3/06at Piedmont (15-6)CA Diablo93.86L3-10 -0.100  
3/08BISHOP O'DOWD (5-9)CA Diablo86.5L9-10 -0.350  
3/13ACALANES (13-7)CA DFAL89.9W12-10 0.250  
3/16at Berkeley (8-9)CA Diablo88.3W8- 5 0.200  
3/21LAS LOMAS (14-6)CA DFAL88.0W14- 1 0.150  
3/23REDWOOD (15-3)CA Marin93.95L6- 8 -0.175  
3/26GOLDEN (10-6)CO Foothil90.0L6- 9 -0.250  
3/28SIR FRANCIS DRAKE (0-10)CA Marin73.5W14- 2 0.000  
3/30at Tamalpais (6-8)CA Marin83.9W14- 2 0.125  
4/04at San Rafael (6-10)CA Marin80.7W10- 1 0.025  
4/18TERRA LINDA (0-8)CA Marin73.3W15- 1 0.000  
4/20BRANSON (5-10)CA Marin84.1W12- 9 0.100  
4/24SAINT IGNATIUS PREP (18-0)CA CentCo98.61L3-15 0.000  
4/27at Marin Catholic (12-10)CA Marin91.3L5-15 -0.200  
4/30at Bella Vista (5-8)CA SanJoq83.6W10- 7 0.125  
5/02at San Marin (4-11)CA Marin83.8W7- 3 0.150  
5/08at Redwood (15-3)CA Marin93.95L5- 8 -0.150  
 85.4     0.00  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/27HUniversity SF8-12-4   -2       -0.38       -1.62
3/02AMiramonte4-31   -2       +0.38       2.99
3/06APiedmont3-10-7   -6       0.38       -1.06
3/08HBishop O'Dowd9-10-1   4       ––-0.38       -4.74
3/13HAcalanes12-102   0       -0.38       1.59
3/16ABerkeley8-53   2       0.38       0.97
3/21HLas Lomas14-113   4       +++-0.38       8.94
3/23HRedwood6-8-2   -3       -0.38       1.23
3/26HGolden6-9-3   0       -0.48       -3.38
3/28HSir Francis Drake14-212   14       -0.38       -2.32
3/30ATamalpais14-212   5       +++0.38       6.78
4/04ASan Rafael10-19   9       0.38       0.34
4/18HTerra Linda15-114   14       -0.38       -0.34
4/20HBranson12-93   6       -0.38       -2.55
4/24HSaint Ignatius Prep3-15-12   -11       -0.38       -1.08
4/27AMarin Catholic5-15-10   -2       –––0.38       -8.10
4/30ABella Vista10-73   5       0.38       -2.26
5/02ASan Marin7-34   4       0.38       0.25
5/08ARedwood5-8-3   -4       0.38       0.99
         0.00-3.38

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/21HLas Lomas14-1-3.00
3/28HSir Francis Drake14-22.32
3/30ATamalpais14-2-2.00
4/18HTerra Linda15-10.34
4/24HSaint Ignatius Prep3-151.08
4/27AMarin Catholic5-150.00
10-goal correction: -0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 91.   Natl CCR Rank 554
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 89.89   Natl Power Rank 554
Natl SOS Rating 80.52   Natl SOS Rank 840
Natl Quality Win Rating n/a   Natl Quality Win Rank n/a
W-L Pct Rating 0.58   W-L Pct Rank 962
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-8   Ave Goal diff (all ) 1.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -9.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -6.3
Wins/Losses (top 20) 3-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -3.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.3



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